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Kansas City @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-195
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-195
Projection Rating

The #4 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. This contest is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #4 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. This contest is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #25 ballpark in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. This contest is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #25 ballpark in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. This contest is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #25 ballpark in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. This contest is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jordan Lyles will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #25 ballpark in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. This contest is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jordan Lyles will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 16th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Drew Waters's launch angle recently (25.8° in the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17.9° seasonal mark.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 16th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Drew Waters's launch angle recently (25.8° in the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17.9° seasonal mark.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles in today's game. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles in today's game. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Trea Turner's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, posting a .294 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .050 gap.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Trea Turner's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, posting a .294 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .050 gap.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Lyles in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 20%.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Lyles in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 20%.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City

E. Olivares
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Edward Olivares's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edward Olivares is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Edward Olivares pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Edward Olivares this year. His .307 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .337.

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Edward Olivares's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edward Olivares is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Edward Olivares pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Edward Olivares this year. His .307 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .337.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Lyles today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Lyles today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Michael Massey is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Michael Massey has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 92.2-mph in the past two weeks. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (20.5°) is considerably higher than his 15.8° mark last season.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Michael Massey is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Michael Massey has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 92.2-mph in the past two weeks. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (20.5°) is considerably higher than his 15.8° mark last season.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Over the last two weeks, Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph lately. Over the past 14 days, Salvador Perez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 19.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Over the last two weeks, Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph lately. Over the past 14 days, Salvador Perez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 19.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. MJ Melendez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph average. MJ Melendez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 40.2% on the season to 53.6% over the past 14 days.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. MJ Melendez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph average. MJ Melendez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 40.2% on the season to 53.6% over the past 14 days.

Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Blanco
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Dairon Blanco's quickness has gotten better this year. His 28.86 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.38 ft/sec now.

Dairon Blanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Dairon Blanco's quickness has gotten better this year. His 28.86 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.38 ft/sec now.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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