NBC Bay Area, Bally Sports Network

San Francisco @ Los Angeles props

Angel Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Angels

S. Ohtani
starter SP • LA Angels
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The San Francisco Giants have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season Angel Stadium has the shortest fences in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. In today's game, Shohei Ohtani is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (82nd percentile). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.409) may lead us to conclude that Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side this year with his .446 actual wOBA.

Shohei Ohtani

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The San Francisco Giants have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season Angel Stadium has the shortest fences in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. In today's game, Shohei Ohtani is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (82nd percentile). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.409) may lead us to conclude that Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side this year with his .446 actual wOBA.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Wilmer Flores will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Sandoval today... and moreover, Sandoval has a large platoon split. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Patrick Sandoval. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Wilmer Flores has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.7% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last week.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Wilmer Flores will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Sandoval today... and moreover, Sandoval has a large platoon split. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Patrick Sandoval. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Wilmer Flores has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.7% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last week.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Thairo Estrada is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Thairo Estrada will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.2% to 20.1%.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Thairo Estrada is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Thairo Estrada will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.2% to 20.1%.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Patrick Sandoval... and even better, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Patrick Bailey has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.9-mph. Patrick Bailey has notched a .333 BABIP this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Patrick Sandoval... and even better, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Patrick Bailey has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.9-mph. Patrick Bailey has notched a .333 BABIP this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Matos
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Luis Matos will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) may lead us to conclude that Luis Matos has had bad variance on his side this year with his .291 actual wOBA. In terms of plate discipline, Luis Matos's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.63 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 89th percentile.

Luis Matos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Luis Matos will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) may lead us to conclude that Luis Matos has had bad variance on his side this year with his .291 actual wOBA. In terms of plate discipline, Luis Matos's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.63 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 89th percentile.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. In the last two weeks, Michael Conforto has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 42.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.2°.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. In the last two weeks, Michael Conforto has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 42.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.2°.

Mike Moustakas Total Hits Props • LA Angels

M. Moustakas
first base 1B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Mike Moustakas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Moustakas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Mike Moustakas will hold that advantage today.

Mike Moustakas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Mike Moustakas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Moustakas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Mike Moustakas will hold that advantage today.

Luis Rengifo Total Hits Props • LA Angels

L. Rengifo
second base 2B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Luis Rengifo will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Rengifo has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 13.2% over the past two weeks. Luis Rengifo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV.

Luis Rengifo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Luis Rengifo will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Rengifo has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 13.2% over the past two weeks. Luis Rengifo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV.

Matt Thaiss Total Hits Props • LA Angels

M. Thaiss
catcher C • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.3°, Matt Thaiss has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 33.3° figure in the past week.

Matt Thaiss

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.3°, Matt Thaiss has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 33.3° figure in the past week.

Austin Slater Total Hits Props • San Francisco

A. Slater
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 11th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Austin Slater will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. In comparison to his 89.2-mph average last year, Austin Slater's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.6 mph.

Austin Slater

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 11th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Austin Slater will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. In comparison to his 89.2-mph average last year, Austin Slater's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.6 mph.

Brandon Drury Total Hits Props • LA Angels

B. Drury
third base 3B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Drury in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Drury is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Drury will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Drury's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 38.8% to 45.3%.

Brandon Drury

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Drury in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Drury is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Drury will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Drury's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 38.8% to 45.3%.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • LA Angels

H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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