Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
Final Apr 28
MIN 11 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
Final Apr 28
NYY 3 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
Final Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 28
ATH 2 -104 o9.5
TEX 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 28
DET 5 +108 o7.5
HOU 8 -119 u7.5
Final Apr 28
ATL 6 -167 o10.5
COL 3 +150 u10.5
Final (10) Apr 28
MIA 6 +245 o9.0
LAD 7 -283 u9.0
MLBN, ATTP, Bally Sports Network

Atlanta @ Pittsburgh props

PNC Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-165
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-165
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Sporting a .255 BABIP this year, Ozzie Albies has performed in the 9th percentile.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Sporting a .255 BABIP this year, Ozzie Albies has performed in the 9th percentile.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all parks. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today's game. Marcell Ozuna has compiled a .250 BABIP this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all parks. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today's game. Marcell Ozuna has compiled a .250 BABIP this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all parks. Bailey Falter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Olson in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Olson has been lucky this year. His .410 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .388.

Matt Olson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all parks. Bailey Falter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Olson in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Olson has been lucky this year. His .410 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .388.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

In today's matchup, Austin Riley is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 32.9% rate (76th percentile). The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Riley in today's matchup. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 47% on the season to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

In today's matchup, Austin Riley is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 32.9% rate (76th percentile). The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Riley in today's matchup. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 47% on the season to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

L. Peguero
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Liover Peguero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Liover Peguero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph recently.

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Liover Peguero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Liover Peguero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph recently.

Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Williams
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

PNC Park projects as the #6 park in the game for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Alika Williams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Alika Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park projects as the #6 park in the game for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Alika Williams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Endy Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

E. Rodriguez
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The #6 venue in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Endy Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Endy Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #6 venue in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Endy Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jack Suwinski generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jack Suwinski generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all parks. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 46.8% on the season to 40% in the past 7 days.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all parks. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 46.8% on the season to 40% in the past 7 days.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Triolo
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

Henry Davis is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Henry Davis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Henry Davis is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Henry Davis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Orlando Arcia will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's game. Bats such as Orlando Arcia with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Orlando Arcia has recorded a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Orlando Arcia will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's game. Bats such as Orlando Arcia with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Orlando Arcia has recorded a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

K. Pillar
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kevin Pillar will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Kevin Pillar's quickness has gotten better this year. His 27.11 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.36 ft/sec now. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Kevin Pillar has suffered from bad luck this year. His .301 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .355.

Kevin Pillar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kevin Pillar will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Kevin Pillar's quickness has gotten better this year. His 27.11 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.36 ft/sec now. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Kevin Pillar has suffered from bad luck this year. His .301 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .355.

Joshua Palacios Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Palacios
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.58
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+195
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.58
Best Odds
Over
+195
Under
-265

Joshua Palacios has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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