Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
Final Apr 28
MIN 11 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
Final Apr 28
NYY 3 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
Final Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 28
ATH 2 -104 o9.5
TEX 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 28
DET 5 +108 o7.5
HOU 8 -119 u7.5
Final Apr 28
ATL 6 -167 o10.5
COL 3 +150 u10.5
Final (10) Apr 28
MIA 6 +245 o9.0
LAD 7 -283 u9.0
ARID, SDPA

San Diego @ Arizona props

Chase Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Christian Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Christian Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Blake Snell.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Blake Snell.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's game. The Barrel% of Trent Grisham has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.7% last year to 13.7% this year.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson in today's game. The Barrel% of Trent Grisham has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.7% last year to 13.7% this year.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. When it comes to plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts's talent is quite good, posting a 1.79 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 80th percentile.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. When it comes to plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts's talent is quite good, posting a 1.79 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 80th percentile.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jake McCarthy has experienced some negative variance this year. His .302 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jake McCarthy has experienced some negative variance this year. His .302 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Manny Machado has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Manny Machado has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) provides evidence that Jake Cronenworth this year with his .227 actual batting average.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) provides evidence that Jake Cronenworth this year with his .227 actual batting average.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Ahmed will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Ahmed this year. His .263 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Ahmed will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Ahmed this year. His .263 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Kelly
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Carson Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Carson Kelly will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carson Kelly's true offensive ability to be a .290, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .052 deviation between that figure and his actual .238 wOBA.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Carson Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's matchup. Carson Kelly will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carson Kelly's true offensive ability to be a .290, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .052 deviation between that figure and his actual .238 wOBA.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Sanchez
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gary Sanchez has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.6% seasonal rate to 29.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Gary Sanchez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 94.3-mph over the last 14 days. Gary Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 17.5% on the season to 37.5% over the past 14 days.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gary Sanchez has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.6% seasonal rate to 29.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Gary Sanchez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 94.3-mph over the last 14 days. Gary Sanchez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 17.5% on the season to 37.5% over the past 14 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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