Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Luis Arraez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.9-mph over the past two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Arraez's true offensive talent to be a .335, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .043 difference between that figure and his actual .378 wOBA.