Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
Final Apr 28
MIN 11 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
Final Apr 28
NYY 3 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
Final Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 28
ATH 2 -104 o9.5
TEX 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 28
DET 5 +108 o7.5
HOU 8 -119 u7.5
Final Apr 28
ATL 6 -167 o10.5
COL 3 +150 u10.5
Final (10) Apr 28
MIA 6 +245 o9.0
LAD 7 -283 u9.0
Bally Sports Network

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Diaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Tropicana Field profiles as the #27 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Gavin Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Over the last two weeks, Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.6°.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tropicana Field profiles as the #27 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Gavin Williams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Over the last two weeks, Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.6°.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst venue in the league for lefty batting average. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Steven Kwan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shawn Armstrong in today's game. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Steven Kwan's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (4° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 7.2° seasonal figure.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst venue in the league for lefty batting average. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Steven Kwan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shawn Armstrong in today's game. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Steven Kwan's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (4° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 7.2° seasonal figure.

Wander Franco Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

W. Franco
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wander Franco as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability. Wander Franco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Wander Franco will hold that advantage today. Wander Franco has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Wander Franco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wander Franco as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability. Wander Franco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Wander Franco will hold that advantage today. Wander Franco has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors.

Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Cleveland

M. Straw
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Shawn Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Myles Straw in today's game. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Myles Straw's launch angle of late (27.3° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 8.9° seasonal mark.

Myles Straw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Shawn Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Myles Straw in today's game. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Myles Straw's launch angle of late (27.3° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 8.9° seasonal mark.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.5-mph mark. In the past 14 days, Jose Ramirez's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.1%.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.5-mph mark. In the past 14 days, Jose Ramirez's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.1%.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

G. Arias
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Shawn Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Gabriel Arias in today's game. Gabriel Arias has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. In the past week, Gabriel Arias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 14.3%. Over the last two weeks, Gabriel Arias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph in recent games.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Shawn Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Gabriel Arias in today's game. Gabriel Arias has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. In the past week, Gabriel Arias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 14.3%. Over the last two weeks, Gabriel Arias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph in recent games.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last year's 15.5° to 21.2° this season. Isaac Paredes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 15.3% on the season to 25.9% over the last 14 days.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last year's 15.5° to 21.2° this season. Isaac Paredes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 15.3% on the season to 25.9% over the last 14 days.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today. Jose Siri has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.3% rate last year to 14.4% this year. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Jose Siri has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 32.9° mark in the last week.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today. Jose Siri has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.3% rate last year to 14.4% this year. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Jose Siri has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 32.9° mark in the last week.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph mark. Based on Statcast data, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 90th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .366.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph mark. Based on Statcast data, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 90th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .366.

Oscar Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

O. Gonzalez
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Oscar Gonzalez's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oscar Gonzalez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Shawn Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Oscar Gonzalez in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Oscar Gonzalez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 11.8%.

Oscar Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Oscar Gonzalez's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oscar Gonzalez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Shawn Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Oscar Gonzalez in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Oscar Gonzalez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 11.8%.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game. Brandon Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brandon Lowe has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 93.2-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game. Brandon Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brandon Lowe has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 93.2-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Rene Pinto Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Pinto
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Rene Pinto will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Rene Pinto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Rene Pinto will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

W. Brennan
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Will Brennan has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage against Shawn Armstrong in today's game.

Will Brennan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Will Brennan has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage against Shawn Armstrong in today's game.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

L. Raley
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage today. Luke Raley has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.8-mph. Luke Raley has recorded a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage today. Luke Raley has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 93.8-mph. Luke Raley has recorded a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Cam Gallagher Total Hits Props • Cleveland

C. Gallagher
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field. Shawn Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Gallagher today.

Cam Gallagher

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Tropicana Field. Shawn Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Gallagher today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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