Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
Final Apr 28
MIN 11 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
Final Apr 28
NYY 3 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
Final Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 28
ATH 2 -104 o9.5
TEX 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 28
DET 5 +108 o7.5
HOU 8 -119 u7.5
Final Apr 28
ATL 6 -167 o10.5
COL 3 +150 u10.5
Final (10) Apr 28
MIA 6 +245 o9.0
LAD 7 -283 u9.0
ARID, SDPA

San Diego @ Arizona props

Chase Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Compared to his seasonal average of 7°, Xander Bogaerts has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.3° angle in the last week.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Compared to his seasonal average of 7°, Xander Bogaerts has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.3° angle in the last week.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game. Trent Grisham has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.7% rate last season to 13.7% this year.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game. Trent Grisham has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.7% rate last season to 13.7% this year.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Among all major league stadiums, Chase Field's CF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the lowest humidity on the schedule today at 28%. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. In the past week, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 87.5-mph in the past 7 days.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Among all major league stadiums, Chase Field's CF dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the lowest humidity on the schedule today at 28%. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. In the past week, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 87.5-mph in the past 7 days.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Corbin Carroll will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Corbin Carroll will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jake McCarthy will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jake McCarthy has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .252 mark is a fair amount lower than his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jake McCarthy will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jake McCarthy has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .252 mark is a fair amount lower than his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage against Rich Hill in today's matchup.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage against Rich Hill in today's matchup.

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Manny Machado has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94.6-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Manny Machado has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94.6-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 4.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jake Cronenworth will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 4.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Kelly
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Carson Kelly will hold the platoon advantage over Rich Hill today. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .245 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carson Kelly has suffered from bad luck given the .048 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Carson Kelly will hold the platoon advantage over Rich Hill today. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .245 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carson Kelly has suffered from bad luck given the .048 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Nick Ahmed will hold the platoon advantage against Rich Hill in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Ahmed will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Ahmed has had some very poor luck this year. His .257 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 field in MLB for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Nick Ahmed will hold the platoon advantage against Rich Hill in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Ahmed will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Ahmed has had some very poor luck this year. His .257 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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