LIVE Bottom 7th Apr 28
MIN 9 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
LIVE Top 6th Apr 28
NYY 0 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 7th Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Apr 28
ATH 0 -104 o9.5
TEX 0 -106 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Apr 28
DET 0 +108 o7.5
HOU 0 -119 u7.5
ATL -170 o10.5
COL +152 u10.5
MIA +235 o8.5
LAD -271 u8.5
Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
ATTP, SNY

Pittsburgh @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the best among every team playing today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 11.5%. Ranking in the 25th percentile, Jeff McNeil has put up a .303 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the best among every team playing today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 11.5%. Ranking in the 25th percentile, Jeff McNeil has put up a .303 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

L. Peguero
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past week's worth of games, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 5.6%. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 17.3% on the season to 11.1% in the past 7 days.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst park in the majors for LHB batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past week's worth of games, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 5.6%. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 17.3% on the season to 11.1% in the past 7 days.

Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Williams
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.3°, Alika Williams has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.3° angle over the past week.

Alika Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.3°, Alika Williams has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.3° angle over the past week.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
designated hitter DH • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Connor Joe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Connor Joe's launch angle this season (15.8°) is significantly better than his 10.1° mark last year.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Connor Joe is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Connor Joe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Connor Joe's launch angle this season (15.8°) is significantly better than his 10.1° mark last year.

Endy Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

E. Rodriguez
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Endy Rodriguez has been hot recently, posting a a 17.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 14 days. Endy Rodriguez has exhibited some good exit velocity benchmarks of late, averaging 96.7-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.

Endy Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Endy Rodriguez has been hot recently, posting a a 17.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 14 days. Endy Rodriguez has exhibited some good exit velocity benchmarks of late, averaging 96.7-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester in today's matchup.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

Henry Davis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Henry Davis has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Henry Davis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Henry Davis has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos's true offensive ability to be a .305, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos's true offensive ability to be a .305, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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