LIVE Bottom 7th Apr 28
MIN 9 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
LIVE Top 6th Apr 28
NYY 0 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 7th Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Apr 28
ATH 0 -104 o9.5
TEX 0 -106 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Apr 28
DET 0 +108 o7.5
HOU 0 -119 u7.5
ATL -170 o10.5
COL +152 u10.5
MIA +235 o8.5
LAD -271 u8.5
Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
FS1, AT&T Sportsnet, ARID

Arizona @ Colorado props

Coors Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-143
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-143
Projection Rating

Chris Flexen will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Walker in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Christian Walker's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.5-mph over the past two weeks. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 41.6% to 36%.

Christian Walker

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Chris Flexen will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Walker in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Christian Walker's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.5-mph over the past two weeks. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 41.6% to 36%.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-167
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-167
Projection Rating

Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among every team today. Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Jake McCarthy's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 85.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.8-mph over the last two weeks. From last season to this one, Jake McCarthy's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 90.8 mph to 88.3 mph.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among every team today. Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Jake McCarthy's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 85.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.8-mph over the last two weeks. From last season to this one, Jake McCarthy's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 90.8 mph to 88.3 mph.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-139
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-139
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Chris Flexen The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Ketel Marte has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .366 figure is inflated compared to his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ketel Marte ranks in the 18th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (12.9% rate this year).

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Chris Flexen The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Ketel Marte has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .366 figure is inflated compared to his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ketel Marte ranks in the 18th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (12.9% rate this year).

Elehuris Montero Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Montero
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Elehuris Montero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Elehuris Montero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 40%.

Elehuris Montero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Elehuris Montero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Elehuris Montero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 40%.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-141
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-141
Projection Rating

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Corbin Carroll's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. Corbin Carroll's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 93.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 88.8-mph in the last 7 days. Corbin Carroll's launch angle lately (3.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 10.9° seasonal mark.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Corbin Carroll's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. Corbin Carroll's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 93.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 88.8-mph in the last 7 days. Corbin Carroll's launch angle lately (3.4° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 10.9° seasonal mark.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Merrill Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today. Ezequiel Tovar's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 88.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 85.1-mph over the past 7 days. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Tovar is in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .306. Sporting a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ezequiel Tovar is positioned in the 9th percentile.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Merrill Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today. Ezequiel Tovar's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 88.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 85.1-mph over the past 7 days. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Tovar is in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .306. Sporting a .279 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ezequiel Tovar is positioned in the 9th percentile.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

M. Toglia
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Michael Toglia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael Toglia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 93.2-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Michael Toglia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael Toglia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 93.2-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Over the last two weeks, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.3-mph over the course of the season to 89.9-mph of late. Geraldo Perdomo's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (18.9° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 15.8° seasonal angle.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Over the last two weeks, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.3-mph over the course of the season to 89.9-mph of late. Geraldo Perdomo's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (18.9° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 15.8° seasonal angle.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Nolan Jones is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Nolan Jones will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Nolan Jones is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Nolan Jones will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup.

Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Rodgers
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Merrill Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Rodgers in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today. Brendan Rodgers's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 90.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 86.8-mph over the last week.

Brendan Rodgers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Merrill Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Rodgers in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today. Brendan Rodgers's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 90.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 86.8-mph over the last week.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Alek Thomas is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game. When starting against a righty hurler this year, Alek Thomas has been pinch hit for 14% of the time. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alek Thomas in today's matchup. Alek Thomas has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 84.6-mph in the last two weeks.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Alek Thomas is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game. When starting against a righty hurler this year, Alek Thomas has been pinch hit for 14% of the time. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alek Thomas in today's matchup. Alek Thomas has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 84.6-mph in the last two weeks.

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

C. Blackmon
designated hitter DH • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today's game. Chris Flexen will hold the platoon advantage over Gabriel Moreno in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno is in the 12th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .293.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today's game. Chris Flexen will hold the platoon advantage over Gabriel Moreno in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno is in the 12th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .293.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in MLB for RHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Harold Castro Total Hits Props • Colorado

H. Castro
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Castro in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Harold Castro will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game.

Harold Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Castro in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Harold Castro will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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