LIVE Bottom 7th Apr 28
MIN 9 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
LIVE Top 6th Apr 28
NYY 0 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 7th Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Apr 28
ATH 0 -104 o9.5
TEX 0 -106 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Apr 28
DET 0 +108 o7.5
HOU 0 -119 u7.5
ATL -170 o10.5
COL +152 u10.5
MIA +235 o8.5
LAD -271 u8.5
Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
SNY, ATTP

Pittsburgh @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Posting a .272 BABIP this year, Francisco Lindor is ranked in the 19th percentile.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Posting a .272 BABIP this year, Francisco Lindor is ranked in the 19th percentile.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Citi Field projects as the #30 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces. Bailey Falter will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citi Field projects as the #30 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces. Bailey Falter will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Triolo
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jared Triolo will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game. In the past 7 days, Jared Triolo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.6% up to 20%.

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jared Triolo will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game. In the past 7 days, Jared Triolo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.6% up to 20%.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
designated hitter DH • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Andrew McCutchen will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Andrew McCutchen will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences today. Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences today. Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Over the past week, Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph of late.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Over the past week, Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph of late.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter today. Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter today. Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Williams
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Alika Williams will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.3°, Alika Williams has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.3° angle in the last week.

Alika Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Alika Williams will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.3°, Alika Williams has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.3° angle in the last week.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Ke'Bryan Hayes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Ke'Bryan Hayes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

Tim Locastro Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Locastro
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Tim Locastro will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Tim Locastro will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.14 ft/sec since the start of last season, Tim Locastro is notably quick.

Tim Locastro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Tim Locastro will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Tim Locastro will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.14 ft/sec since the start of last season, Tim Locastro is notably quick.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Henry Davis is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Henry Davis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Henry Davis has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Henry Davis is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Henry Davis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Henry Davis has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Mark Vientos has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .232 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .281 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Mark Vientos will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Mark Vientos has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .232 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .281 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Connor Joe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Connor Joe hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Connor Joe's launch angle this season (15.9°) is a significant increase over his 10.1° figure last year.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Connor Joe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Connor Joe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Connor Joe hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Connor Joe's launch angle this season (15.9°) is a significant increase over his 10.1° figure last year.

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

L. Peguero
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Liover Peguero will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today. Liover Peguero has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 94.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liover Peguero in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Liover Peguero will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today. Liover Peguero has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 94.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Danny Mendick Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Mendick
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Danny Mendick will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Danny Mendick will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Mendick ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.4% rate since the start of last season).

Danny Mendick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Danny Mendick will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Danny Mendick will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Mendick ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.4% rate since the start of last season).

Joshua Palacios Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Palacios
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.58
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-175
Under
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.58
Best Odds
Over
-175
Under
+130

Joshua Palacios has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast