LIVE Bottom 3rd Apr 28
NYM 2 -168 o9.5
WAS 0 +151 u9.5
MIN +112 o8.0
CLE -124 u8.0
NYY -126 o9.5
BAL +114 u9.5
STL +108 o9.5
CIN -119 u9.5
ATH -105 o9.5
TEX -105 u9.5
DET +106 o7.0
HOU -117 u7.0
ATL -167 o10.0
COL +150 u10.0
MIA +228 o8.5
LAD -262 u8.5
SDPA, MASN2

Baltimore @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Blake Snell. Over the last 7 days, Anthony Santander's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%. Anthony Santander's 21.3° launch angle (an advanced metric to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the game: 98th percentile.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Blake Snell. Over the last 7 days, Anthony Santander's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%. Anthony Santander's 21.3° launch angle (an advanced metric to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the game: 98th percentile.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Snell today. Jordan Westburg has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Snell today. Jordan Westburg has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Trent Grisham's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.1% up to 33.3%.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Trent Grisham's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.1% up to 33.3%.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-worst venue in the majors for righty batting average. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-worst venue in the majors for righty batting average. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cedric Mullins II's launch angle this year (23°) is a significant increase over his 17.3° figure last season. Sporting a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Cedric Mullins II grades out in the 75th percentile. When it comes to plate discipline, Cedric Mullins II's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.77 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 82nd percentile.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cedric Mullins II's launch angle this year (23°) is a significant increase over his 17.3° figure last season. Sporting a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Cedric Mullins II grades out in the 75th percentile. When it comes to plate discipline, Cedric Mullins II's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.77 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 82nd percentile.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Blake Snell. Adley Rutschman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.2-mph.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Blake Snell. Adley Rutschman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.2-mph.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 91.6 mph to 83.4 mph.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Xander Bogaerts will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 91.6 mph to 83.4 mph.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Gunnar Henderson's 92.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in Major League Baseball this year: 93rd percentile.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Gunnar Henderson's 92.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in Major League Baseball this year: 93rd percentile.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Last year, Austin Hays had an average launch angle of 7.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 10.8°. Austin Hays has notched a .350 BABIP this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Last year, Austin Hays had an average launch angle of 7.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 10.8°. Austin Hays has notched a .350 BABIP this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Cronenworth has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .231 rate is a fair amount lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Cronenworth has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .231 rate is a fair amount lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.7-mph. Ryan Mountcastle has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .337 figure is a fair amount lower than his .366 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.7-mph. Ryan Mountcastle has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .337 figure is a fair amount lower than his .366 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best batter in the game. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best batter in the game. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-103
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-103
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.324) suggests that Jorge Mateo has experienced some negative variance this year with his .264 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.09 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is remarkably toolsy.

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.324) suggests that Jorge Mateo has experienced some negative variance this year with his .264 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.09 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is remarkably toolsy.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today. Manny Machado has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 94.5-mph in the past two weeks.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today. Manny Machado has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 94.5-mph in the past two weeks.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Snell in today's matchup. Over the past week, Ramon Urias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 25%. Ramon Urias has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 92.4-mph. Ramon Urias has notched a .333 BABIP this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Snell in today's matchup. Over the past week, Ramon Urias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 25%. Ramon Urias has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 92.4-mph. Ramon Urias has notched a .333 BABIP this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Sanchez
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Gary Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Gary Sanchez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

James McCann Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. McCann
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

James McCann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.2% to 17%. This year, the hardest ball James McCann has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.1 mph (a reliable stat to study power), placing in the 78th percentile. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and James McCann's 25.9° mark (77th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

James McCann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

James McCann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13.2% to 17%. This year, the hardest ball James McCann has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.1 mph (a reliable stat to study power), placing in the 78th percentile. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and James McCann's 25.9° mark (77th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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