NYM -167 o9.5
WAS +150 u9.5
MIN +115 o8.0
CLE -127 u8.0
NYY -128 o9.5
BAL +116 u9.5
STL +105 o9.5
CIN -116 u9.5
ATH -106 o9.5
TEX -104 u9.5
DET +106 o7.5
HOU -117 u7.5
ATL -167 o10.0
COL +150 u10.0
MIA +231 o8.5
LAD -265 u8.5
SDPA, ARID

Arizona @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Trent Grisham has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Trent Grisham has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 87.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 85.4-mph average. Geraldo Perdomo's launch angle in recent games (21.2° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 16.1° seasonal angle.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 87.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 85.4-mph average. Geraldo Perdomo's launch angle in recent games (21.2° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 16.1° seasonal angle.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo today. Corbin Carroll has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph average.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Seth Lugo today. Corbin Carroll has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph average.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Ketel Marte has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 91.2-mph. In the past 14 days, Ketel Marte has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .361.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Ketel Marte has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 91.2-mph. In the past 14 days, Ketel Marte has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .361.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today. Alek Thomas has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .233 figure is deflated compared to his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo today. Alek Thomas has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .233 figure is deflated compared to his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Over the last 14 days, Christian Walker has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.4% to 22.6%. Christian Walker has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.2-mph.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Over the last 14 days, Christian Walker has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.4% to 22.6%. Christian Walker has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.2-mph.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Juan Soto generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Juan Soto generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The #6 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 94.6 mph to 86.3 mph. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle of late (-4.4° in the past 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 10.6° seasonal angle.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The #6 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 94.6 mph to 86.3 mph. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle of late (-4.4° in the past 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 10.6° seasonal angle.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today. Xander Bogaerts has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.6-mph.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today. Xander Bogaerts has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.6-mph.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Sanchez
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Gary Sanchez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.4% to 33.3%. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.8-mph mark. In the last two weeks, Gary Sanchez's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Gary Sanchez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 15.4% to 33.3%. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.8-mph mark. In the last two weeks, Gary Sanchez's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph of late.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph of late.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last week, Manny Machado's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 93.2 mph to 91.1 mph.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last week, Manny Machado's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 93.2 mph to 91.1 mph.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Over the past 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s 46.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.3%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Over the past 14 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s 46.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.3%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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