NYM -168 o9.5
WAS +150 u9.5
MIN +115 o8.0
CLE -127 u8.0
NYY -128 o9.5
BAL +116 u9.5
STL +105 o9.5
CIN -116 u9.5
ATH -106 o9.5
TEX -104 u9.5
DET +106 o7.5
HOU -117 u7.5
ATL -167 o10.0
COL +150 u10.0
MIA +231 o8.5
LAD -265 u8.5
MASN, YES Network

Washington @ New York props

Yankee Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+155

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Lane Thomas has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.5-mph average. Placing in the 94th percentile, Lane Thomas sits with a .363 BABIP this year.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Lane Thomas has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.5-mph average. Placing in the 94th percentile, Lane Thomas sits with a .363 BABIP this year.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Giancarlo Stanton's true offensive talent to be a .365, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .058 deviation between that figure and his actual .307 wOBA.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Giancarlo Stanton's true offensive talent to be a .365, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .058 deviation between that figure and his actual .307 wOBA.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+115

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 15% on the season to 21.1% over the past two weeks.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 15% on the season to 21.1% over the past two weeks.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's game. Aaron Judge has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.5-mph average to last season's 99.3-mph figure. Aaron Judge's launch angle this season (20.4°) is a significant increase over his 14.6° angle last year.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's game. Aaron Judge has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.5-mph average to last season's 99.3-mph figure. Aaron Judge's launch angle this season (20.4°) is a significant increase over his 14.6° angle last year.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Alex Call will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.5-mph over the course of the season to 90.5-mph recently. Alex Call's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 15.8% on the season to 26.9% over the past two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Call's true offensive skill to be a .320, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .049 difference between that figure and his actual .271 wOBA.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Alex Call will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.5-mph over the course of the season to 90.5-mph recently. Alex Call's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 15.8% on the season to 26.9% over the past two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Call's true offensive skill to be a .320, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .049 difference between that figure and his actual .271 wOBA.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .217 BA is a fair amount lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .217 BA is a fair amount lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

DJ LeMahieu Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

D. LeMahieu
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .240 figure is considerably lower than his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

DJ LeMahieu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .240 figure is considerably lower than his .261 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Harrison Bader's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 85.9-mph now compared to just 83.4-mph then.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Harrison Bader's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 85.9-mph now compared to just 83.4-mph then.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Keibert Ruiz has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.8° angle over the last 14 days. As it relates to plate discipline, Keibert Ruiz's talent is quite good, posting a 1.46 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 92nd percentile.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Keibert Ruiz has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.8° angle over the last 14 days. As it relates to plate discipline, Keibert Ruiz's talent is quite good, posting a 1.46 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 92nd percentile.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Gleyber Torres will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.8-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 86.9-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Gleyber Torres will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.8-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 86.9-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

B. Rortvedt
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Ben Rortvedt will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ben Rortvedt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Ben Rortvedt will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Joey Meneses has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Sporting a .286 batting average this year, Joey Meneses finds himself in the 89th percentile.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Joey Meneses has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Sporting a .286 batting average this year, Joey Meneses finds himself in the 89th percentile.

Michael Chavis Total Hits Props • Washington

M. Chavis
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Michael Chavis's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Michael Chavis's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 41% to 60%.

Michael Chavis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Michael Chavis's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Michael Chavis's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 41% to 60%.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Carlos Rodon. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) implies that Ildemaro Vargas has experienced some negative variance this year with his .236 actual batting average. Posting a 1.44 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has shown favorable plate discipline, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Carlos Rodon. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) implies that Ildemaro Vargas has experienced some negative variance this year with his .236 actual batting average. Posting a 1.44 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has shown favorable plate discipline, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Riley Adams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 95th percentile. Riley Adams grades out in the 78th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.4% rate since the start of last season).

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Riley Adams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 95th percentile. Riley Adams grades out in the 78th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (17.4% rate since the start of last season).

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Stone Garrett in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Stone Garrett is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Stone Garrett has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.9% seasonal rate to 17.2% in the last two weeks. Stone Garrett has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph average.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Stone Garrett in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Stone Garrett is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Stone Garrett has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.9% seasonal rate to 17.2% in the last two weeks. Stone Garrett has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph average.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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