LIVE Bottom 3rd Apr 28
NYM 2 -168 o9.5
WAS 0 +151 u9.5
MIN +112 o8.0
CLE -124 u8.0
NYY -126 o9.5
BAL +114 u9.5
STL +108 o9.5
CIN -119 u9.5
ATH -105 o9.5
TEX -105 u9.5
DET +106 o7.0
HOU -117 u7.0
ATL -167 o10.0
COL +150 u10.0
MIA +228 o8.5
LAD -262 u8.5
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Seattle @ Chicago props

Guaranteed Rate Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Jimenez
designated hitter DH • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+188
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+188
Projection Rating

George Kirby will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eloy Jimenez in today's game. Eloy Jimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 97.6-mph EV last season has lowered to 92.8-mph. Eloy Jimenez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 10.6% on the season to 5.3% over the last two weeks.

Eloy Jimenez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

George Kirby will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eloy Jimenez in today's game. Eloy Jimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 97.6-mph EV last season has lowered to 92.8-mph. Eloy Jimenez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 10.6% on the season to 5.3% over the last two weeks.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • Seattle

T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+195
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+195
Projection Rating

Michael Kopech will have the handedness advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile with a 5.79 K/BB rate.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Michael Kopech will have the handedness advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile with a 5.79 K/BB rate.

Elvis Andrus Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Andrus
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+170
Projection Rating

Elvis Andrus is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #7 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Elvis Andrus

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Elvis Andrus is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #7 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+170
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The #7 field in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°.

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The #7 field in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+140
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+140
Projection Rating

George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Robert today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Robert's true offensive talent to be a .358, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .373 wOBA. Luis Robert has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 5th percentile with a 5.54 K/BB rate.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Robert today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Robert's true offensive talent to be a .358, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .015 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .373 wOBA. Luis Robert has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 5th percentile with a 5.54 K/BB rate.

Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle

D. Canzone
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+165
Projection Rating

The #7 field in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Kopech in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Dominic Canzone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #7 field in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Kopech in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Yoan Moncada Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Y. Moncada
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #7 field in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°.

Yoan Moncada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #7 field in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Sosa
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #7 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Lenyn Sosa has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #7 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Lenyn Sosa has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rojas
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The #7 field in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Kopech today. Josh Rojas has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Josh Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #7 field in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Kopech today. Josh Rojas has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rodriguez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-175
Projection Rating

Michael Kopech will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Julio Rodriguez's 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Michael Kopech will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Julio Rodriguez's 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

In the past 7 days, Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 87.1 mph to 83.9 mph. Andrew Benintendi has been cold of late, compiling a 2.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the past 14 days.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In the past 7 days, Andrew Benintendi's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 87.1 mph to 83.9 mph. Andrew Benintendi has been cold of late, compiling a 2.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the past 14 days.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle

E. Suarez
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #7 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #7 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Yasmani Grandal Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Y. Grandal
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

The #7 field in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage today.

Yasmani Grandal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #7 field in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 94°. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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