LIVE Bottom 3rd Apr 28
NYM 2 -168 o9.5
WAS 0 +151 u9.5
MIN +112 o8.0
CLE -124 u8.0
NYY -126 o9.5
BAL +114 u9.5
STL +108 o9.5
CIN -119 u9.5
ATH -105 o9.5
TEX -105 u9.5
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ATL -167 o10.0
COL +150 u10.0
MIA +228 o8.5
LAD -262 u8.5
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New York @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

K. Pillar
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+210
Projection Rating

Kevin Pillar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Kevin Pillar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Kevin Pillar will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Kevin Pillar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kevin Pillar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Kevin Pillar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Kevin Pillar will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Brandon Nimmo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+135
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+135
Projection Rating

The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team today. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s launch angle recently (-0.5° over the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.1° seasonal mark.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team today. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s launch angle recently (-0.5° over the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.1° seasonal mark.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Orlando Arcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Orlando Arcia will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Orlando Arcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Orlando Arcia will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Daniel Vogelbach will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

In the league, Truist Park's left field dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team today.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

In the league, Truist Park's left field dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team today.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 11th-best hitter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 11th-best hitter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Jonathan Arauz Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Arauz
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. The switch-hitting Jonathan Arauz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Charlie Morton. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Jonathan Arauz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. The switch-hitting Jonathan Arauz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Charlie Morton. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Francisco Alvarez has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the last week — 110.8-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Francisco Alvarez has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the last week — 110.8-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Stewart
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. D.J. Stewart will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

DJ Stewart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. D.J. Stewart will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Danny Mendick Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Mendick
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Danny Mendick has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 91-mph. Danny Mendick's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 48.8% on the season to 58.3% in the last week.

Danny Mendick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Danny Mendick has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 91-mph. Danny Mendick's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 48.8% on the season to 58.3% in the last week.

Rafael Ortega Total Hits Props • NY Mets

R. Ortega
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Rafael Ortega will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Rafael Ortega

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°. Rafael Ortega will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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