LIVE Bottom 3rd Apr 28
NYM 2 -168 o9.5
WAS 0 +151 u9.5
MIN +112 o8.0
CLE -124 u8.0
NYY -126 o9.5
BAL +114 u9.5
STL +108 o9.5
CIN -119 u9.5
ATH -105 o9.5
TEX -105 u9.5
DET +106 o7.0
HOU -117 u7.0
ATL -167 o10.0
COL +150 u10.0
MIA +228 o8.5
LAD -262 u8.5
MLBN, ATTP, Bally Sports Network

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh props

PNC Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+140
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Connor Joe will have the handedness advantage over Zack Thompson today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Joe is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Connor Joe will have the handedness advantage over Zack Thompson today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Williams
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Alika Williams will have the handedness advantage over Zack Thompson today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Alika Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alika Williams has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week's worth of games.

Alika Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Alika Williams will have the handedness advantage over Zack Thompson today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Alika Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alika Williams has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 5% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week's worth of games.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-227
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-227
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today. Luis Ortiz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado in today's game. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear the league's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today. Luis Ortiz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado in today's game. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear the league's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

This year, Alec Burleson has been pulled from the game early in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler. PNC Park has the 8th-most fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally bad for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Burleson today.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

This year, Alec Burleson has been pulled from the game early in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler. PNC Park has the 8th-most fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally bad for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Burleson today.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

PNC Park has the 8th-most fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally bad for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today. Luis Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

PNC Park has the 8th-most fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally bad for HRs. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today. Luis Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Vinny Capra Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

V. Capra
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Vinny Capra will have the handedness advantage against Zack Thompson in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Vinny Capra will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Vinny Capra

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Vinny Capra will have the handedness advantage against Zack Thompson in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Vinny Capra will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Bryan Reynolds will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Bryan Reynolds will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Masyn Winn has been lifting the ball well of late, notching an 18.7° launch angle in the past week's worth of games.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Masyn Winn has been lifting the ball well of late, notching an 18.7° launch angle in the past week's worth of games.

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

L. Peguero
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Liover Peguero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Thompson in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Liover Peguero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Liover Peguero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Thompson in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Liover Peguero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Willson Contreras's 56.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Willson Contreras's 56.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%.

Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • St. Louis

R. Palacios
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-227
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-227
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best field in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Richie Palacios will have the handedness advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's game.

Richie Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 5th-best field in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Richie Palacios will have the handedness advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's game.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jordan Walker has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 7 days. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 13.1% on the season to 41.7% over the past 7 days.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Jordan Walker has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 7 days. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 13.1% on the season to 41.7% over the past 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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