LIVE Bottom 3rd Apr 28
NYM 2 -168 o9.5
WAS 0 +151 u9.5
MIN +112 o8.0
CLE -124 u8.0
NYY -126 o9.5
BAL +114 u9.5
STL +108 o9.5
CIN -119 u9.5
ATH -105 o9.5
TEX -105 u9.5
DET +106 o7.0
HOU -117 u7.0
ATL -167 o10.0
COL +150 u10.0
MIA +228 o8.5
LAD -262 u8.5
NBC Bay Area, MLBN, NBCSP

San Francisco @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+180
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Alex Cobb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's game. Trea Turner has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 25th percentile with a 3.57 K/BB rate.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Alex Cobb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's game. Trea Turner has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 25th percentile with a 3.57 K/BB rate.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Wilmer Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Wilmer Flores has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 90.2-mph. There has been a significant improvement in Wilmer Flores's launch angle from last season's 20.3° to 23.8° this year.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Wilmer Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Wilmer Flores has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 90.2-mph. There has been a significant improvement in Wilmer Flores's launch angle from last season's 20.3° to 23.8° this year.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+180
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.6% up to 14.3%.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.6% up to 14.3%.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Pederson
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+175
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

J.D. Davis Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Davis
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. J.D. Davis has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 96.8-mph over the last 7 days. Grading out in the 78th percentile, J.D. Davis has posted a .321 BABIP this year.

J.D. Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. J.D. Davis has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 96.8-mph over the last 7 days. Grading out in the 78th percentile, J.D. Davis has posted a .321 BABIP this year.

Wade Meckler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Meckler
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Wade Meckler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Wade Meckler has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° 40% of the time in the last 7 days.

Wade Meckler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Wade Meckler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Wade Meckler has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° 40% of the time in the last 7 days.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Alec Bohm's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Alec Bohm's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Patrick Bailey ranks in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.2% rate this year). Ranking in the 81st percentile, Patrick Bailey has put up a .335 BABIP this year.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Patrick Bailey ranks in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.2% rate this year). Ranking in the 81st percentile, Patrick Bailey has put up a .335 BABIP this year.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Michael Conforto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Michael Conforto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Among every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-227
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-227
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Alex Cobb in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Alex Cobb in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Cobb in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Cobb in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Jake Cave Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Cave
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jake Cave will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Cobb in today's game. Jake Cave has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jake Cave will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jake Cave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jake Cave will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Cobb in today's game. Jake Cave has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jake Cave will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast