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Atlanta @ San Francisco props

Oracle Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+135
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+135
Projection Rating

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Olson today. Matt Olson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.8-mph dropping to 92.5-mph over the past two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Matt Olson's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.6%.

Matt Olson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Olson today. Matt Olson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.8-mph dropping to 92.5-mph over the past two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Matt Olson's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.6%.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+170
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Sean Murphy ranks in the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .399.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Sean Murphy ranks in the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .399.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+107
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+107
Projection Rating

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Logan Webb will have the handedness advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 13.3% on the season to 4.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Logan Webb will have the handedness advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 13.3% on the season to 4.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-196
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-196
Projection Rating

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Typically, batters like Michael Harris II who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Webb. Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Michael Harris II's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5.1°) is considerably worse than his 8.2° angle last year.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Typically, batters like Michael Harris II who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Webb. Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Michael Harris II's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5.1°) is considerably worse than his 8.2° angle last year.

J.D. Davis Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Davis
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. J.D. Davis has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and J.D. Davis will hold that advantage in today's game.

J.D. Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. J.D. Davis has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and J.D. Davis will hold that advantage in today's game.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Wilmer Flores will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Wilmer Flores's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 15%.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Wilmer Flores will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Wilmer Flores's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 15%.

Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Matos
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luis Matos will hold that advantage in today's game. By putting up a 1.64 K/BB rate this year, Luis Matos has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Luis Matos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luis Matos will hold that advantage in today's game. By putting up a 1.64 K/BB rate this year, Luis Matos has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Blake Sabol Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Sabol
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Blake Sabol is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Blake Sabol

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Blake Sabol is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Patrick Bailey pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a .332 BABIP this year, Patrick Bailey grades out in the 79th percentile.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Patrick Bailey pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a .332 BABIP this year, Patrick Bailey grades out in the 79th percentile.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Pederson
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider in today's matchup.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider in today's matchup.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Orlando Arcia has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 92.6-mph. Orlando Arcia has notched a .273 batting average this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Orlando Arcia has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 92.6-mph. Orlando Arcia has notched a .273 batting average this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta

T. d'Arnaud
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Travis d'Arnaud's batting average skill is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Travis d'Arnaud has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Travis d'Arnaud has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure.

Travis d'Arnaud

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Travis d'Arnaud's batting average skill is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oracle Park profiles as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Travis d'Arnaud has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Travis d'Arnaud has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure.

Nicky Lopez Total Hits Props • Atlanta

N. Lopez
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 86.7-mph.

Nicky Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup. Nicky Lopez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 86.7-mph.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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