Kansas City @ Seattle props

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's game. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.9°, Maikel Garcia's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0.2° in the past 14 days).

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Dominic Canzone will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Dominic Canzone's 53.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%. Over the past week, Dominic Canzone has displayed impressive power, recording a a 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. Drew Waters pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Over the past week, Drew Waters's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph of late.

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 venue in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Brady Singer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals. Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 98-mph EV last year has dropped to 94.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. J.P. Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.328) provides evidence that Michael Massey has experienced some negative variance this year with his .277 actual wOBA.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.7°, Nelson Velazquez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 41° angle in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 19th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average skill. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. In the last 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.8% up to 18.2%.

Mike Ford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Mike Ford will hold that advantage in today's game. Mike Ford has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 88.8-mph average. Mike Ford's launch angle of late (24.5° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 19.6° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today. MJ Melendez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Eugenio Suarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.2% up to 29.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage today. Ty France has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.6% seasonal rate to 12.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Ty France has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 90.1-mph.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Matt Beaty will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Salvador Perez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 45.5% on the season to 60.5% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 14% seasonal rate to 22.6% in the past 14 days. Cal Raleigh's launch angle of late (29.4° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 20.7° seasonal figure.

Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's game. Josh Rojas has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Josh Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Josh Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 18% on the season to 21.4% in the past two weeks. Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year, putting up a .280 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .026 difference.

Cade Marlowe has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Matt Duffy has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Freddy Fermin has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.