LIVE Bottom 7th Apr 28
MIN 9 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
LIVE Top 6th Apr 28
NYY 0 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 7th Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Apr 28
ATH 0 -104 o9.5
TEX 0 -106 u9.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Apr 28
DET 0 +108 o7.5
HOU 0 -119 u7.5
ATL -170 o10.5
COL +152 u10.5
MIA +235 o8.5
LAD -271 u8.5
Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
MASN2, Bally Sports Network

Washington @ Miami props

loanDepot park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jon Berti Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Berti
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jon Berti will hold that advantage today. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Jon Berti sits with a .329 BABIP this year.

Jon Berti

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jon Berti will hold that advantage today. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Jon Berti sits with a .329 BABIP this year.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Alex Call will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett today. Alex Call hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alex Call given the .044 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Alex Call will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett today. Alex Call hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alex Call given the .044 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Nick Fortes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, compiling a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .063 difference.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Nick Fortes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, compiling a .251 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .063 difference.

Michael Chavis Total Hits Props • Washington

M. Chavis
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Chavis in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Michael Chavis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Chavis in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Joey Meneses will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Joey Meneses will hold the platoon advantage against Braxton Garrett in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for left-handed BABIP. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. CJ Abrams's launch angle recently (22.3° over the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 13.7° seasonal angle. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 33.6% to 40.1%.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for left-handed BABIP. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. CJ Abrams's launch angle recently (22.3° over the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 13.7° seasonal angle. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 33.6% to 40.1%.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Checking in at the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Riley Adams has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett today. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Checking in at the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Riley Adams has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Braxton Garrett. Ildemaro Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Ildemaro Vargas has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .234 figure is a fair amount lower than his .283 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Braxton Garrett. Ildemaro Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Ildemaro Vargas has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .234 figure is a fair amount lower than his .283 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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