Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
Final Apr 28
MIN 11 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
Final Apr 28
NYY 3 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
Final Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 28
ATH 2 -104 o9.5
TEX 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 28
DET 5 +108 o7.5
HOU 8 -119 u7.5
Final Apr 28
ATL 6 -167 o10.5
COL 3 +150 u10.5
Final (10) Apr 28
MIA 6 +245 o9.0
LAD 7 -283 u9.0
NBCSCH, NBC Bay Area

Oakland @ Chicago props

Guaranteed Rate Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luis Robert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against JP Sears today... and even better, Sears has a huge platoon split. Luis Robert pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.8% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luis Robert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against JP Sears today... and even better, Sears has a huge platoon split. Luis Robert pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.8% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Oakland

J. Bride
first base 1B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+107
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+107
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.299) may lead us to conclude that Jonah Bride this year with his .236 actual wOBA. As it relates to plate discipline, Jonah Bride's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 90th percentile.

Jonah Bride

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.299) may lead us to conclude that Jonah Bride this year with his .236 actual wOBA. As it relates to plate discipline, Jonah Bride's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 90th percentile.

Zack Gelof Total Hits Props • Oakland

Z. Gelof
shortstop SS • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Zack Gelof is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Zack Gelof has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Zack Gelof's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 47.9% on the season to 55.3% in the past 14 days.

Zack Gelof

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Zack Gelof is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Zack Gelof has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Zack Gelof's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 47.9% on the season to 55.3% in the past 14 days.

Yoan Moncada Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Y. Moncada
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Yoan Moncada will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Yoan Moncada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Yoan Moncada will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan Noda Total Hits Props • Oakland

R. Noda
first base 1B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Ryan Noda is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ryan Noda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Touki Toussaint in today's game. Ryan Noda pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. With a .376 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Ryan Noda finds himself in the 95th percentile for offensive ability.

Ryan Noda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ryan Noda is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ryan Noda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Touki Toussaint in today's game. Ryan Noda pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. With a .376 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Ryan Noda finds himself in the 95th percentile for offensive ability.

Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Jimenez
designated hitter DH • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Eloy Jimenez will hold the platoon advantage over JP Sears today... and even better, Sears has a huge platoon split. Eloy Jimenez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Eloy Jimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Eloy Jimenez will hold the platoon advantage over JP Sears today... and even better, Sears has a huge platoon split. Eloy Jimenez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Brent Rooker Total Hits Props • Oakland

B. Rooker
left outfield LF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Over the last week, Brent Rooker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.3% up to 33.3%.

Brent Rooker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for home runs. Over the last week, Brent Rooker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.3% up to 33.3%.

Andrew Benintendi Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Benintendi
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Andrew Benintendi's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Andrew Benintendi has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage today.

Andrew Benintendi

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Andrew Benintendi's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Andrew Benintendi has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage today.

Trayce Thompson Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

T. Thompson
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trayce Thompson will hold the platoon advantage over JP Sears today... and even better, Sears has a huge platoon split. Trayce Thompson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Trayce Thompson will hold that advantage today. Trayce Thompson's launch angle this season (22.8°) is a considerable increase over his 15.7° mark last year.

Trayce Thompson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #7 venue in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trayce Thompson will hold the platoon advantage over JP Sears today... and even better, Sears has a huge platoon split. Trayce Thompson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Trayce Thompson will hold that advantage today. Trayce Thompson's launch angle this season (22.8°) is a considerable increase over his 15.7° mark last year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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