Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
Final Apr 28
MIN 11 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
Final Apr 28
NYY 3 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
Final Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 28
ATH 2 -104 o9.5
TEX 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 28
DET 5 +108 o7.5
HOU 8 -119 u7.5
Final Apr 28
ATL 6 -167 o10.5
COL 3 +150 u10.5
Final (10) Apr 28
MIA 6 +245 o9.0
LAD 7 -283 u9.0
Bally Sports Network, NBC Bay Area, FS1

Atlanta @ San Francisco props

Oracle Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+175
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Sean Murphy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Walker in today's matchup... and moreover, Walker has a huge platoon split. Sean Murphy has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last season to 17% this season.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Sean Murphy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Walker in today's matchup... and moreover, Walker has a huge platoon split. Sean Murphy has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last season to 17% this season.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Orlando Arcia will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Walker in today's game... and even more favorably, Walker has a huge platoon split. In the last week, Orlando Arcia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph in recent games. Grading out in the 75th percentile, Orlando Arcia has put up a .270 batting average this year.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Orlando Arcia will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Walker in today's game... and even more favorably, Walker has a huge platoon split. In the last week, Orlando Arcia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph in recent games. Grading out in the 75th percentile, Orlando Arcia has put up a .270 batting average this year.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Wilmer Flores will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Wilmer Flores will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Max Fried. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Max Fried. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Casey Schmitt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Casey Schmitt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The #3 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Matt Olson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The #3 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Matt Olson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

J.D. Davis Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Davis
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

J.D. Davis's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.D. Davis is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. J.D. Davis will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

J.D. Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

J.D. Davis's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.D. Davis is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. J.D. Davis will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

Thairo Estrada's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Thairo Estrada will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Thairo Estrada's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Thairo Estrada will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game.

Nicky Lopez Total Hits Props • Atlanta

N. Lopez
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The #3 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In Major League Baseball, Oracle Park's right field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nicky Lopez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.7-mph over the course of the season to 101-mph recently. Nicky Lopez has shown favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.52 K/BB rate.

Nicky Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #3 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park. In Major League Baseball, Oracle Park's right field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nicky Lopez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.7-mph over the course of the season to 101-mph recently. Nicky Lopez has shown favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.52 K/BB rate.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Marcell Ozuna will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Walker in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Walker has a huge platoon split.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Marcell Ozuna will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Walker in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Walker has a huge platoon split.

Austin Slater Total Hits Props • San Francisco

A. Slater
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Austin Slater is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Austin Slater will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

Austin Slater

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his BABIP ability, Austin Slater is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Austin Slater will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Atlanta

V. Grissom
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-175
Under
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.88
Best Odds
Over
-175
Under
+130

Vaughn Grissom has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

K. Pillar
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.53
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-175
Under
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.53
Best Odds
Over
-175
Under
+130

Kevin Pillar has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast