Final Apr 28
NYM 19 -168 o9.5
WAS 5 +151 u9.5
Final Apr 28
MIN 11 +107 o8.0
CLE 1 -118 u8.0
Final Apr 28
NYY 3 -132 o9.5
BAL 4 +120 u9.5
Final Apr 28
STL 1 +108 o9.5
CIN 3 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 28
ATH 2 -104 o9.5
TEX 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 28
DET 5 +108 o7.5
HOU 8 -119 u7.5
Final Apr 28
ATL 6 -167 o10.5
COL 3 +150 u10.5
Final (10) Apr 28
MIA 6 +245 o9.0
LAD 7 -283 u9.0
MASN2, Bally Sports Network

Washington @ Miami props

loanDepot park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today. Bryan De La Cruz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the last week.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today. Bryan De La Cruz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 37.5% over the last week.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Eury Perez in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Dominic Smith has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 85.8-mph EV.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dominic Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Eury Perez in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Dominic Smith has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 85.8-mph EV.

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Ildemaro Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) implies that Ildemaro Vargas this year with his .239 actual batting average. As it relates to plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.32 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 94th percentile.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Ildemaro Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) implies that Ildemaro Vargas this year with his .239 actual batting average. As it relates to plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.32 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 94th percentile.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Jake Alu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jake Alu has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 87.4-mph.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Jake Alu will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Jake Alu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jake Alu has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 87.4-mph.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. CJ Abrams has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph figure.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. CJ Abrams has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph figure.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Posting a .280 batting average this year, Joey Meneses grades out in the 86th percentile.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Posting a .280 batting average this year, Joey Meneses grades out in the 86th percentile.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Alex Call hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Alex Call has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 7 days. Alex Call has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 93.2-mph in the past week.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Alex Call hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Alex Call has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 7 days. Alex Call has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 93.2-mph in the past week.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jake Burger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Jake Burger has experienced some negative variance this year. His .241 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Jake Burger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Jake Burger has experienced some negative variance this year. His .241 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bell
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Bell's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 13.1% to 16.5%.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Bell's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 13.1% to 16.5%.

Carter Kieboom Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Kieboom
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Carter Kieboom is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Carter Kieboom hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

Carter Kieboom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carter Kieboom is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Carter Kieboom hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Stallings
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage in today's game. This season, Jacob Stallings has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.7 mph compared to last year's 88.3 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.274) may lead us to conclude that Jacob Stallings has had some very poor luck this year with his .251 actual wOBA.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage in today's game. This season, Jacob Stallings has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.7 mph compared to last year's 88.3 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.274) may lead us to conclude that Jacob Stallings has had some very poor luck this year with his .251 actual wOBA.

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Wendle
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. Joey Wendle will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. This season, Joey Wendle has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.4 mph compared to last year's 86.4 mph mark.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for lefty base hits. Joey Wendle will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. Joey Wendle will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. This season, Joey Wendle has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.4 mph compared to last year's 86.4 mph mark.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Riley Adams has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 94-mph over the past 14 days. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Riley Adams has notched a .290 batting average this year.

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #6 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Riley Adams has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 94-mph over the past 14 days. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Riley Adams has notched a .290 batting average this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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