Los Angeles @ Boston props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Justin Turner will hold the platoon advantage against Caleb Ferguson today. Justin Turner has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .367 figure is considerably higher than his .318 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. This year, the hardest ball Justin Turner has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.2 mph (a reliable metric to assess power), ranking in the 13th percentile.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Tanner Houck will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mookie Betts's true offensive talent to be a .393, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .034 deviation between that figure and his actual .427 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Triston Casas is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Caleb Ferguson will have the handedness advantage against Triston Casas today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. James Outman will have the handedness advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. James Outman pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Caleb Ferguson will have the handedness advantage against Rafael Devers in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Pablo Reyes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Pablo Reyes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.9-mph over the course of the season to 91.2-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Luis Urias pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Luis Urias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Luis Urias's talent is quite strong, putting up a 2.01 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Austin Barnes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Austin Barnes has been unlucky this year, posting a .205 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .082 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Miguel Rojas has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.7 mph compared to last year's 86.7 mph mark.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Duvall will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.