MASN, AT&T Sportsnet

Colorado @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

C. Blackmon
designated hitter DH • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Projection Rating

Charlie Blackmon's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Charlie Blackmon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Charlie Blackmon's batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Charlie Blackmon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+135
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+135
Projection Rating

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today. Ryan Mountcastle has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 13.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 8.8% over the last 14 days.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today. Ryan Mountcastle has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 13.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 8.8% over the last 14 days.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Ty Blach will have the handedness advantage over Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest LF fences in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today. In the past week, Gunnar Henderson's 35% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.4%.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ty Blach will have the handedness advantage over Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest LF fences in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today. In the past week, Gunnar Henderson's 35% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.4%.

James McCann Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. McCann
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-238
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-238
Projection Rating

James McCann is penciled in 6th in the batting order today. James McCann has been pulled from the game early 23% of the time when starting against a southpaw this year. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today. By putting up a 6.52 K/BB rate this year, James McCann has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 12th percentile.

James McCann

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

James McCann is penciled in 6th in the batting order today. James McCann has been pulled from the game early 23% of the time when starting against a southpaw this year. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today. By putting up a 6.52 K/BB rate this year, James McCann has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 12th percentile.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup. Today, Jordan Westburg is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 32.9% rate (77th percentile). The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup. Today, Jordan Westburg is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 32.9% rate (77th percentile). The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brenton Doyle has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.3-mph. Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, notching a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .278 — a .030 difference.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brenton Doyle has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brenton Doyle has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.3-mph. Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, notching a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .278 — a .030 difference.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 18% on the season to 30.8% over the last two weeks.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 18% on the season to 30.8% over the last two weeks.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-400
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-400
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Hays will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Blach in today's matchup.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Hays will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Blach in today's matchup.

Austin Wynns Total Hits Props • Colorado

A. Wynns
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Wynns has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Austin Wynns has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph figure.

Austin Wynns

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in the league for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Wynns has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Austin Wynns has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph figure.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

M. Toglia
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Michael Toglia has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 3.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days. Michael Toglia has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph EV.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Michael Toglia has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 3.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days. Michael Toglia has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph EV.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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