ARID, BSOHIO

Cincinnati @ Arizona props

Chase Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+110
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+110
Projection Rating

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in the majors. Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 12.9% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in the majors. Graham Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 12.9% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Benson
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Will Benson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi today. Over the past 14 days, Will Benson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph lately.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Will Benson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi today. Over the past 14 days, Will Benson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph lately.

Jace Peterson Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Peterson
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Jace Peterson will hold the platoon advantage over Graham Ashcraft in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jace Peterson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jace Peterson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Jace Peterson will hold the platoon advantage over Graham Ashcraft in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jace Peterson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Geraldo Perdomo's launch angle lately (34° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 16.2° seasonal figure.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Geraldo Perdomo's launch angle lately (34° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 16.2° seasonal figure.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.

Luke Maile Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

L. Maile
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Luke Maile has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.4% rate last season to 11.1% this season. Luke Maile has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last season's 84.5-mph average.

Luke Maile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Luke Maile has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.4% rate last season to 11.1% this season. Luke Maile has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last season's 84.5-mph average.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Graham Ashcraft today.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Graham Ashcraft today.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Tyler Stephenson has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Tyler Stephenson has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Marte
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today.

TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Friedl
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. T.J. Friedl hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for T.J. Friedl in today's matchup. T.J. Friedl's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89-mph average last year has lowered to 86.6-mph. Last season, T.J. Friedl had a launch angle of 12.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 6.9°.

TJ Friedl

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. T.J. Friedl hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for T.J. Friedl in today's matchup. T.J. Friedl's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89-mph average last year has lowered to 86.6-mph. Last season, T.J. Friedl had a launch angle of 12.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 6.9°.

Evan Longoria Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Longoria
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Evan Longoria ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Evan Longoria will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Evan Longoria

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Evan Longoria ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games today. Evan Longoria will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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