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Kansas City @ Seattle props

T-Mobile Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+143
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's game.

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's game.

Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle

D. Canzone
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's game. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Dominic Canzone's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 46.2% on the season to 61.1% in the past 7 days.

Dominic Canzone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's game. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Dominic Canzone's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 46.2% on the season to 61.1% in the past 7 days.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. MJ Melendez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game. MJ Melendez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. MJ Melendez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game. MJ Melendez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup. Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Massey this year. His .275 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup. Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Massey this year. His .275 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • Seattle

T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

The #2 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. Alec Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 98-mph mark last year has fallen off to 94.4-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #2 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. Alec Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Teoscar Hernandez in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 98-mph mark last year has fallen off to 94.4-mph.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP talent, Drew Waters is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drew Waters has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Drew Waters pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his BABIP talent, Drew Waters is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drew Waters has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Drew Waters pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

Mike Ford Total Hits Props • Seattle

M. Ford
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh today. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Mike Ford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Mike Ford has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 88.8-mph mark.

Mike Ford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh today. Mike Ford pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Mike Ford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Mike Ford has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 88.8-mph mark.

Cade Marlowe Total Hits Props • Seattle

C. Marlowe
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Cade Marlowe will have the handedness advantage against Alec Marsh today. Cade Marlowe pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cade Marlowe will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Cade Marlowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Cade Marlowe will have the handedness advantage against Alec Marsh today. Cade Marlowe pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cade Marlowe will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

J. Rodriguez
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-255
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-255
Projection Rating

The #2 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. Alec Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. In the past week's worth of games, Julio Rodriguez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #2 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which generally leads to less offense. Alec Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today. In the past week's worth of games, Julio Rodriguez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Seattle

T. France
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Ty France will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ty France has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 90.1-mph.

Ty France

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Ty France will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ty France has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 90.1-mph.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle

E. Suarez
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Maikel Garcia's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Maikel Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Maikel Garcia's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Maikel Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

Nelson Velazquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Velazquez
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.6°, Nelson Velazquez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 32° mark in the last week.

Nelson Velazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.6°, Nelson Velazquez has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 32° mark in the last week.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

Matt Beaty Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Beaty
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Matt Beaty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

Matt Beaty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. Matt Beaty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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