St. Louis @ Philadelphia props

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Paul Goldschmidt ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Over the last 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Edmundo Sosa will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rom today. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Jordan Walker has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13% over the last two weeks. In the past two weeks, Jordan Walker's 30.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.2%.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 stadium in the game for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 17.7% to 14.2%. Nick Castellanos has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .337 mark is a good deal higher than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 5.51 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 6th percentile.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. Nolan Gorman's 15.9% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 95th percentile this year.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Willson Contreras has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .255 mark is deflated compared to his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 18% on the season to 23.5% over the last two weeks. Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Nolan Arenado has put up a .358 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. J.T. Realmuto will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rom in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Taylor Motter pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.254) implies that Taylor Motter has suffered from bad luck this year with his .214 actual wOBA.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Richie Palacios has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Notching a 96.8-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days, Richie Palacios has been in great form of late. Over the past week, Richie Palacios's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 27.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.