MASN2, Bally Sports Network

Washington @ Miami props

loanDepot park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Call hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. In the past week, Alex Call's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 12.5%. Alex Call has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.5-mph average.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Call hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. In the past week, Alex Call's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 12.5%. Alex Call has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.5-mph average.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jesus Luzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Alu in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Luzardo's large platoon split. Jake Alu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jake Alu has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 89.7-mph over the last 7 days.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jesus Luzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Alu in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Luzardo's large platoon split. Jake Alu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Jake Alu has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 89.7-mph over the last 7 days.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 38.8% to 44.7%.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 38.8% to 44.7%.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .062 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .062 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bell
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Josh Bell's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (10.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 7.2° mark last season.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Josh Bell's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (10.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 7.2° mark last season.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Chisholm Jr.
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Williams today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Williams today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Burger has notched a .366 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Burger has notched a .366 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage today. Jorge Soler has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage today. Jorge Soler has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Bryan De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Bryan De La Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Riley Adams has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 95.3-mph over the past two weeks. Riley Adams has posted a .281 batting average this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, LoanDepot Park's CF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Riley Adams has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 95.3-mph over the past two weeks. Riley Adams has posted a .281 batting average this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Stallings
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jacob Stallings will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jacob Stallings has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph figure.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #6 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jacob Stallings will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jacob Stallings has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast