Bally Sports Network

Texas @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

D. Solano
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
+140
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
+140
Projection Rating

This year, Donovan Solano has been pulled from the game early in 51% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 12th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. In today's game, Donovan Solano is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (94th percentile). Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Donovan Solano has experienced some positive variance given the .013 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

This year, Donovan Solano has been pulled from the game early in 51% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 12th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. In today's game, Donovan Solano is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (94th percentile). Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Donovan Solano has experienced some positive variance given the .013 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+155
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+155
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 12th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Today, Corey Seager is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (91st percentile). Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Despite posting a .443 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has had some very good luck given the .041 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .402.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 12th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Today, Corey Seager is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (91st percentile). Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Despite posting a .443 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has had some very good luck given the .041 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .402.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.9% up to 33.3%. Matt Wallner has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 99.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. By putting up a .330 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Wallner has performed in the 78th percentile for hitting ability.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.9% up to 33.3%. Matt Wallner has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 99.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. By putting up a .330 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Wallner has performed in the 78th percentile for hitting ability.

Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Taylor
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Michael A. Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Michael A. Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael A. Taylor has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph figure.

Michael A. Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Michael A. Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Michael A. Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Michael A. Taylor has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph figure.

Jordan Luplow Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Luplow
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

Jordan Luplow is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Jordan Luplow will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game. Jordan Luplow will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, Jordan Luplow has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 30.8% to 44.4% this season.

Jordan Luplow

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jordan Luplow is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Jordan Luplow will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game. Jordan Luplow will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, Jordan Luplow has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 30.8% to 44.4% this season.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mitch Garver ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Mitch Garver has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.8% rate last year to 14.9% this season.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mitch Garver ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Mitch Garver has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.8% rate last year to 14.9% this season.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Royce Lewis will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week, Royce Lewis's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 18.8%.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Royce Lewis will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week, Royce Lewis's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 18.8%.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. In the past week, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 12.5%.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. In the past week, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 12.5%.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Max Kepler ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph mark. Max Kepler has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph EV.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Max Kepler ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph mark. Max Kepler has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph EV.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Adolis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph to 100.2-mph in the past 7 days.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Adolis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph to 100.2-mph in the past 7 days.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota

K. Farmer
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage today. Kyle Farmer has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last season's 85.5-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Kyle Farmer this year with his .250 actual batting average.

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Kyle Farmer will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage today. Kyle Farmer has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.6-mph average to last season's 85.5-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) suggests that Kyle Farmer this year with his .250 actual batting average.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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