SDPA, Bally Sports Network

San Diego @ Milwaukee props

American Family Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+190
Projection Rating

Ha-seong Kim is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Ha-seong Kim's launch angle in recent games (19° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° seasonal figure. Ha-seong Kim has put up a .362 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ha-seong Kim is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Ha-seong Kim's launch angle in recent games (19° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° seasonal figure. Ha-seong Kim has put up a .362 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+175
Projection Rating

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 14th-best for pitching on the schedule today. Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 14th-best for pitching on the schedule today. Adrian Houser will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+165
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Adrian Houser today. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Adrian Houser today. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Adrian Houser in today's game. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has had some very poor luck given the .030 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Adrian Houser in today's game. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has had some very poor luck given the .030 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-278
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-278
Projection Rating

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 14th-best for pitching on the schedule today. Adrian Houser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.2% to 36.4%.

Manny Machado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 14th-best for pitching on the schedule today. Adrian Houser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.2% to 36.4%.

Ben Gamel Total Hits Props • San Diego

B. Gamel
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Gamel in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Ben Gamel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's matchup. Ben Gamel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ben Gamel has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .233 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .251 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ben Gamel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Gamel in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Ben Gamel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's matchup. Ben Gamel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ben Gamel has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .233 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .251 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. In the last 7 days, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 18.2%.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. In the last 7 days, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 18.2%.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Cooper
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP talent, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Garrett Cooper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 14.3% to 18.7%. Garrett Cooper has put up a .271 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Garrett Cooper has recorded a .330 BABIP this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP talent, Garrett Cooper is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Garrett Cooper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 14.3% to 18.7%. Garrett Cooper has put up a .271 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Garrett Cooper has recorded a .330 BABIP this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today. Tyrone Taylor's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (27.4° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 20° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.312) implies that Tyrone Taylor has had some very poor luck this year with his .281 actual wOBA.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage today. Tyrone Taylor's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (27.4° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 20° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.312) implies that Tyrone Taylor has had some very poor luck this year with his .281 actual wOBA.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Brice Turang has been unlucky this year, putting up a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .026 gap.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Brice Turang has been unlucky this year, putting up a .278 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .026 gap.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • San Diego

G. Sanchez
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Gary Sanchez's launch angle of late (22.6° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 16.8° seasonal mark. Gary Sanchez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (17.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 14° figure last year. Gary Sanchez has hit one of the hardest balls in the league over the past 14 days — 115.1-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Gary Sanchez's launch angle of late (22.6° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 16.8° seasonal mark. Gary Sanchez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (17.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 14° figure last year. Gary Sanchez has hit one of the hardest balls in the league over the past 14 days — 115.1-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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