MASN2, NBCSCH

Chicago @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+135
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+135
Projection Rating

Michael Kopech will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle today. Ryan Mountcastle has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 13.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Michael Kopech will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle today. Ryan Mountcastle has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 13.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Michael Kopech today.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. In Major League Baseball, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Michael Kopech today.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

Ryan O'Hearn has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year. Ryan O'Hearn has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Ryan O'Hearn's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%. Ryan O'Hearn has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .298 figure is a good deal higher than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan O'Hearn has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year. Ryan O'Hearn has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Ryan O'Hearn's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%. Ryan O'Hearn has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .298 figure is a good deal higher than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Kopech in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Kopech in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Ryan McKenna Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. McKenna
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McKenna in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Ryan McKenna has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team today.

Ryan McKenna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McKenna in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Ryan McKenna has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team today.

Yoan Moncada Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Y. Moncada
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Projection Rating

Yoan Moncada's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Yoan Moncada hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Yoan Moncada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Yoan Moncada's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Yoan Moncada hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Luis Robert's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Luis Robert has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.9% rate last season to 14.9% this year.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Luis Robert's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Luis Robert has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.9% rate last season to 14.9% this year.

Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Jimenez
designated hitter DH • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Eloy Jimenez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Eloy Jimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Eloy Jimenez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Korey Lee Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

K. Lee
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Korey Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Oscar Colas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

O. Colas
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Oscar Colas will hold the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Over the past week, Oscar Colas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 16.7%. Oscar Colas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 89.8-mph.

Oscar Colas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Oscar Colas will hold the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Over the past week, Oscar Colas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 16.7%. Oscar Colas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 89.8-mph.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting on the schedule today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Sosa
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Lenyn Sosa has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Lenyn Sosa has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks. Lenyn Sosa has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today. Lenyn Sosa has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Lenyn Sosa has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks. Lenyn Sosa has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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