Bally Sports Network, SDPA

San Diego @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+123
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+123
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (20.2°) is significantly better than his 15.8° mark last season. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 16.6% on the season to 35.7% in the last two weeks.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (20.2°) is significantly better than his 15.8° mark last season. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 16.6% on the season to 35.7% in the last two weeks.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+133
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Tyler O'Neill will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Snell in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Tyler O'Neill will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Snell in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's game.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's game.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-280
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-280
Projection Rating

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Over the last week, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 21.4%. Over the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph lately.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Over the last week, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 21.4%. Over the past 14 days, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph lately.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Tommy Edman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Blake Snell. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Tommy Edman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Blake Snell. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Adam Wainwright will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Adam Wainwright will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Adam Wainwright will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today. Manny Machado pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. From last season to this one, Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 46.2% to 36.6%. In notching a .261 BABIP this year, Manny Machado grades out in the 9th percentile.

Manny Machado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Adam Wainwright will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today. Manny Machado pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. From last season to this one, Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 46.2% to 36.6%. In notching a .261 BABIP this year, Manny Machado grades out in the 9th percentile.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Adam Wainwright will have the handedness advantage over Ha-seong Kim today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ha-seong Kim in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Ha-seong Kim's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%. In the past week, Ha-seong Kim's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 90 mph to 87.9 mph. Ha-seong Kim's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, falling from 43.7% on the season to 36.6% in the last two weeks.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Adam Wainwright will have the handedness advantage over Ha-seong Kim today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ha-seong Kim in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Ha-seong Kim's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%. In the past week, Ha-seong Kim's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 90 mph to 87.9 mph. Ha-seong Kim's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, falling from 43.7% on the season to 36.6% in the last two weeks.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Jordan Walker's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Walker has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jordan Walker's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Walker has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's game. Matt Carpenter has been unlucky this year, putting up a .277 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .053 gap. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 97th percentile with a 24° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB. By putting up a 1.89 K/BB rate this year, Matt Carpenter has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's game. Matt Carpenter has been unlucky this year, putting up a .277 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .053 gap. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 97th percentile with a 24° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in MLB. By putting up a 1.89 K/BB rate this year, Matt Carpenter has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Taylor Motter Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Motter
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Taylor Motter will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Taylor Motter will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Motter has experienced some negative variance this year. His .214 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .254.

Taylor Motter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Taylor Motter will hold the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Taylor Motter will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Motter has experienced some negative variance this year. His .214 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .254.

Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Knizner
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Andrew Knizner will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's game. Andrew Knizner has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.7-mph. Andrew Knizner has compiled a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

Andrew Knizner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of the day. Andrew Knizner will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's game. Andrew Knizner has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.7-mph. Andrew Knizner has compiled a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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