Final Mar 11
BAL 6 +0 o0.0
NYY 2 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 11
NYY 1 +0 o0.0
PIT 9 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 11
PHI 18 +132 o9.0
BOS 8 -155 u9.0
Final Mar 11
MIA 12 +113 o8.0
STL 5 -132 u8.0
Final Mar 11
NYM 4 +166 o7.5
HOU 7 -196 u7.5
Final Mar 11
DET 3 +135 o8.0
ATL 1 -158 u8.0
Final Mar 11
MIN 2 +176 o9.0
TOR 3 -209 u9.0
Final Mar 11
COL 5 +143 o14.0
CIN 8 -168 u14.0
Final Mar 11
LAA 6 +150 o13.5
TEX 13 -177 u13.5
Final Mar 11
MIL 9 +159 o11.5
CHC 7 -188 u11.5
Final Mar 11
CLE 4 +167 o9.5
LAD 10 -198 u9.5
Final Mar 11
KC 2 +124 o10.5
AZ 3 -145 u10.5
Final Mar 11
CHW 5 +170 o10.5
SD 7 -202 u10.5
Final Mar 11
OAK 3 +140 o10.5
SF 5 -165 u10.5
SNLA, ARID

Arizona @ Los Angeles props

Dodger Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Heyward
center outfield CF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Jason Heyward will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Jason Heyward's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.7 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 84th percentile.

Jason Heyward

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Jason Heyward will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Jason Heyward's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.7 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 84th percentile.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 20.2%. Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 95th percentile with a 1.36 K/BB rate.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 20.2%. Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 95th percentile with a 1.36 K/BB rate.

Jace Peterson Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Peterson
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Jace Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Miller in today's matchup. Jace Peterson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Last year, Jace Peterson had an average launch angle of 12.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.7°. Jace Peterson has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .281 mark is a fair amount lower than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jace Peterson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Jace Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Miller in today's matchup. Jace Peterson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Last year, Jace Peterson had an average launch angle of 12.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.7°. Jace Peterson has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .281 mark is a fair amount lower than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Miller in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Miller in today's matchup.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Arizona

T. Pham
designated hitter DH • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.292) provides evidence that Tommy Pham has experienced some negative variance this year with his .263 actual batting average.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Tommy Pham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.292) provides evidence that Tommy Pham has experienced some negative variance this year with his .263 actual batting average.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Betts
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Despite posting a .430 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has experienced some positive variance given the .035 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .395.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Despite posting a .430 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has experienced some positive variance given the .035 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .395.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddie Freeman's true offensive ability to be a .400, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .023 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .423 wOBA.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddie Freeman's true offensive ability to be a .400, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .023 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .423 wOBA.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. James Outman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. James Outman has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Grading out in the 94th percentile, James Outman has posted a .357 BABIP this year.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. James Outman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. James Outman has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Grading out in the 94th percentile, James Outman has posted a .357 BABIP this year.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Miguel Rojas's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Miguel Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Miguel Rojas has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph mark. Compared to last year, Miguel Rojas has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.3% to 19% this season.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Miguel Rojas's batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°. Miguel Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Miguel Rojas has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph mark. Compared to last year, Miguel Rojas has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.3% to 19% this season.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Busch
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today's game. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Michael Busch has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 89.6-mph in the last 7 days.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today's game. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Michael Busch has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 89.6-mph in the last 7 days.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's game.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report the highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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