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Los Angeles @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luis Rengifo Total Hits Props • LA Angels

L. Rengifo
second base 2B • LA Angels
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
+145
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
+145
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #23 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Taijuan Walker Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the last 14 days, Luis Rengifo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Luis Rengifo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #23 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Taijuan Walker Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the last 14 days, Luis Rengifo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Logan O'Hoppe Total Hits Props • LA Angels

L. O'Hoppe
catcher C • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+133
Projection Rating

Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Over the last two weeks, Logan O'Hoppe has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 24.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.8°. Logan O'Hoppe's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 26.59 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.72 ft/sec now. Over the last 7 days, Logan O'Hoppe has averaged an impressive 97.7-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

Logan O'Hoppe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Over the last two weeks, Logan O'Hoppe has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 24.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.8°. Logan O'Hoppe's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 26.59 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.72 ft/sec now. Over the last 7 days, Logan O'Hoppe has averaged an impressive 97.7-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #23 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #23 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.

Brandon Drury Total Hits Props • LA Angels

B. Drury
third base 3B • LA Angels
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #23 venue in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Taijuan Walker will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Drury in today's matchup. Brandon Drury will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Brandon Drury's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.5%.

Brandon Drury

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #23 venue in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Taijuan Walker will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Drury in today's matchup. Brandon Drury will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Brandon Drury's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.5%.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #23 venue in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Lucas Giolito will have the handedness advantage against Trea Turner in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Trea Turner's ability is quite poor, posting a 3.52 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 25th percentile.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #23 venue in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Lucas Giolito will have the handedness advantage against Trea Turner in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Trea Turner's ability is quite poor, posting a 3.52 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 25th percentile.

Mickey Moniak Total Hits Props • LA Angels

M. Moniak
center outfield CF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Over the last week, Mickey Moniak's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.4% up to 28.6%. Mickey Moniak has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.

Mickey Moniak

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Over the last week, Mickey Moniak's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.4% up to 28.6%. Mickey Moniak has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • LA Angels

R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.7% up to 11.8%. Alec Bohm has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 90.8-mph.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.7% up to 11.8%. Alec Bohm has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 90.8-mph.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Castellanos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.1-mph.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Castellanos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.1-mph.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 44.4% on the season to 60% in the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive talent to be a .353, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .025 gap between that figure and his actual .328 wOBA.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 44.4% on the season to 60% in the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive talent to be a .353, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .025 gap between that figure and his actual .328 wOBA.

Trey Cabbage Total Hits Props • LA Angels

T. Cabbage
center outfield CF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Trey Cabbage will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Trey Cabbage

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Trey Cabbage will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Mike Moustakas Total Hits Props • LA Angels

M. Moustakas
first base 1B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Mike Moustakas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Mike Moustakas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Mike Moustakas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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