Bally Sports Network

Cleveland @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Polanco
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+170
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Jorge Polanco will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Jorge Polanco will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Kole Calhoun Total Hits Props • Cleveland

K. Calhoun
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

Kole Calhoun is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Kole Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kole Calhoun stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Kole Calhoun

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kole Calhoun is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Kole Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kole Calhoun stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+123
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+123
Projection Rating

In today's matchup, Steven Kwan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40% rate (97th percentile). Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan today. In the past 7 days, Steven Kwan's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%. Steven Kwan's 85.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 0th percentile this year.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

In today's matchup, Steven Kwan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40% rate (97th percentile). Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan today. In the past 7 days, Steven Kwan's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%. Steven Kwan's 85.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 0th percentile this year.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

G. Arias
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. As it relates to his batting average, Gabriel Arias has had some very poor luck this year. His .202 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .229.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. As it relates to his batting average, Gabriel Arias has had some very poor luck this year. His .202 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .229.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The 10th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Target Field. Xzavion Curry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams in action today. In the past 14 days, Carlos Correa's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 4.5%. Over the last 14 days, Carlos Correa's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 93.6 mph to 86.3 mph.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The 10th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Target Field. Xzavion Curry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams in action today. In the past 14 days, Carlos Correa's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 4.5%. Over the last 14 days, Carlos Correa's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 93.6 mph to 86.3 mph.

Oscar Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

O. Gonzalez
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Kenta Maeda will hold the platoon advantage against Oscar Gonzalez in today's matchup. In today's game, Oscar Gonzalez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (96th percentile). Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Oscar Gonzalez today. an 8.21 K/BB rate this year, Oscar Gonzalez has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 9th percentile.

Oscar Gonzalez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kenta Maeda will hold the platoon advantage against Oscar Gonzalez in today's matchup. In today's game, Oscar Gonzalez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (96th percentile). Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Oscar Gonzalez today. an 8.21 K/BB rate this year, Oscar Gonzalez has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 9th percentile.

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

W. Brennan
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-278
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-278
Projection Rating

Will Brennan is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Will Brennan's 3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 7th percentile this year. Ranked in the 3rd percentile, Will Brennan's average exit velocity of 85.4 mph ranks among the lowest in the league this year.

Will Brennan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Will Brennan is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Will Brennan's 3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 7th percentile this year. Ranked in the 3rd percentile, Will Brennan's average exit velocity of 85.4 mph ranks among the lowest in the league this year.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-286
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-286
Projection Rating

The 10th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Target Field. Xzavion Curry will have the handedness advantage against Royce Lewis today. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams in action today. In terms of his batting average, Royce Lewis has been very fortunate this year. His .312 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .251.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The 10th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Target Field. Xzavion Curry will have the handedness advantage against Royce Lewis today. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams in action today. In terms of his batting average, Royce Lewis has been very fortunate this year. His .312 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .251.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The 10th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Target Field. Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past 14 days, Jose Ramirez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-1.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.7°.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The 10th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Target Field. Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past 14 days, Jose Ramirez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-1.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.7°.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Andres Gimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Cleveland

R. Laureano
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Taylor
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Michael A. Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. This season, Michael A. Taylor has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.6 mph compared to last year's 90.3 mph mark.

Michael A. Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Michael A. Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. This season, Michael A. Taylor has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.6 mph compared to last year's 90.3 mph mark.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Kenta Maeda today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bo Naylor can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Kenta Maeda today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bo Naylor can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Max Kepler is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's matchup.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Max Kepler is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's matchup.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 7th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry in today's matchup.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 7th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry in today's matchup.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today. Matt Wallner has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 17.7% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 83°. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today. Matt Wallner has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 17.7% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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