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Atlanta @ Colorado props

Coors Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz today. Elias Diaz has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .328 mark is a fair amount higher than his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz today. Elias Diaz has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .328 mark is a fair amount higher than his .291 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+205
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+205
Projection Rating

This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Austin Gomber will have the handedness advantage against Matt Olson in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Over the past week, Matt Olson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.8% down to 0%.

Matt Olson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Austin Gomber will have the handedness advantage against Matt Olson in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Over the past week, Matt Olson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.8% down to 0%.

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

C. Blackmon
designated hitter DH • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+185
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+185
Projection Rating

This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Charlie Blackmon has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week. Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Charlie Blackmon has had positive variance on his side given the .033 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Charlie Blackmon has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week. Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Charlie Blackmon has had positive variance on his side given the .033 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+155
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+155
Projection Rating

This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive skill to be a .358, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .012 deviation between that figure and his actual .370 wOBA.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive skill to be a .358, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .012 deviation between that figure and his actual .370 wOBA.

Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

K. Pillar
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-150
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Pillar in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Kevin Pillar is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game. 37% of the time that Kevin Pillar has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today.

Kevin Pillar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Pillar in the 20th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Kevin Pillar is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game. 37% of the time that Kevin Pillar has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-185
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-185
Projection Rating

Michael Harris II is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Austin Gomber will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Harris II in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Michael Harris II is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Austin Gomber will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Harris II in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-195
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-195
Projection Rating

This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar today. Over the last 14 days, Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.2 mph to 87.3 mph. Ezequiel Tovar has posted a .286 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 14th percentile. Ezequiel Tovar has displayed poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 2nd percentile with a 6.53 K/BB rate.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar today. Over the last 14 days, Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.2 mph to 87.3 mph. Ezequiel Tovar has posted a .286 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 14th percentile. Ezequiel Tovar has displayed poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 2nd percentile with a 6.53 K/BB rate.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Orlando Arcia in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.3°, Orlando Arcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.3°) in the last 14 days.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Orlando Arcia in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 5.3°, Orlando Arcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.3°) in the last 14 days.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-167
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-167
Projection Rating

This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. In the last week, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 7.1%. Austin Riley's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 95.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. In the last week, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 7.1%. Austin Riley's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 95.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

Sean Murphy is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Murphy in today's matchup. Sean Murphy's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 95.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 76.3-mph in the past 14 days.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Sean Murphy is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Murphy in today's matchup. Sean Murphy's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 95.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 76.3-mph in the past 14 days.

Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Atlanta

V. Grissom
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

Vaughn Grissom is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game. This matchup is expected to have the 2nd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Vaughn Grissom will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Vaughn Grissom's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.2-mph figure last year has fallen off to 87.8-mph.

Vaughn Grissom

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Vaughn Grissom is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game. This matchup is expected to have the 2nd-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best out of every team on the slate today. Vaughn Grissom will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Vaughn Grissom's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 94.2-mph figure last year has fallen off to 87.8-mph.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the league. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Ronald Acuna Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Gomber in today's game.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.5

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the league. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Ronald Acuna Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Gomber in today's game.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph lately.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph lately.

Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado

H. Goodman
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Hunter Goodman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-295
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-295
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nolan Jones is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's matchup.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nolan Jones is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for LHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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