ATTP, Bally Sports Network

Pittsburgh @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+130
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+130
Projection Rating

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ke'Bryan Hayes in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.7°, Ke'Bryan Hayes has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.4°) in the past 14 days. Ke'Bryan Hayes has displayed weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.71 K/BB rate.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ke'Bryan Hayes in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.7°, Ke'Bryan Hayes has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.4°) in the past 14 days. Ke'Bryan Hayes has displayed weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.71 K/BB rate.

Liover Peguero Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

L. Peguero
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Liover Peguero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's game.

Liover Peguero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Liover Peguero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's game.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jack Suwinski has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.3% rate last season to 18% this season. Jack Suwinski's launch angle this season (23.8°) is considerably better than his 14.4° figure last year.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jack Suwinski has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.3% rate last season to 18% this season. Jack Suwinski's launch angle this season (23.8°) is considerably better than his 14.4° figure last year.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

Andre Jackson will have the handedness advantage over Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia's launch angle recently (-1.4° over the past week) is considerably worse than his 5.9° seasonal angle. Maikel Garcia has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the last week's worth of games. Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Maikel Garcia sits with a .301 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Andre Jackson will have the handedness advantage over Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia's launch angle recently (-1.4° over the past week) is considerably worse than his 5.9° seasonal angle. Maikel Garcia has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the last week's worth of games. Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Maikel Garcia sits with a .301 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
designated hitter DH • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's game. Kyle Isbel will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's game. Kyle Isbel will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Connor Joe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's game.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Joe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Connor Joe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's game.

Alika Williams Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Williams
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alika Williams will have the handedness advantage over Cole Ragans in today's game. In the last 7 days, Alika Williams's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.7-mph over the course of the season to 93.1-mph in recent games.

Alika Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alika Williams will have the handedness advantage over Cole Ragans in today's game. In the last 7 days, Alika Williams's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.7-mph over the course of the season to 93.1-mph in recent games.

Nelson Velazquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Velazquez
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Nelson Velazquez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage today.

Nelson Velazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nelson Velazquez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage today.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Salvador Perez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Salvador Perez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's game. Freddy Fermin has recorded a .288 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's game. Freddy Fermin has recorded a .288 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Blanco
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dairon Blanco will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Dairon Blanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #4 field in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dairon Blanco will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Matt Beaty Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Beaty
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Beaty will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Beaty will hold that advantage in today's game.

Matt Beaty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed batting average. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Beaty will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Beaty will hold that advantage in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast