HOU -132 o8.5
TOR +122 u8.5
NYM -111 o8.0
WAS +103 u8.0
MIL -148 o11.5
COL +136 u11.5
MLBN, SNLA, ARID

Arizona @ Los Angeles props

Dodger Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). James Outman will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, James Outman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 22.2%.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). James Outman will have the handedness advantage over Merrill Kelly today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, James Outman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11% up to 22.2%.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Gabriel Moreno's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gabriel Moreno will hold the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno has notched a .276 batting average this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Gabriel Moreno's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gabriel Moreno will hold the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno has notched a .276 batting average this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Betts
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.

Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

C. Taylor
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game.

Chris Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Clayton Kershaw.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Clayton Kershaw.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Arizona

T. Pham
designated hitter DH • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tommy Pham will hold the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tommy Pham will hold the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Evan Longoria Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Longoria
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Evan Longoria will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. Compared to last year, Evan Longoria has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.6% to 18.8% this season.

Evan Longoria

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Longoria in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Evan Longoria will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. Compared to last year, Evan Longoria has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.6% to 18.8% this season.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 86.7 mph mark.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. This season, Miguel Rojas has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.8 mph compared to last year's 86.7 mph mark.

Will Smith Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

W. Smith
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Will Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.

Will Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Will Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today.

Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Heyward
center outfield CF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jason Heyward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jason Heyward has exhibited good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 87th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

Jason Heyward

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jason Heyward will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jason Heyward has exhibited good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 87th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-278
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddie Freeman's true offensive skill to be a .398, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .025 difference between that mark and his actual .423 wOBA.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Freddie Freeman's true offensive skill to be a .398, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .025 difference between that mark and his actual .423 wOBA.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.289) provides evidence that Nick Ahmed has had bad variance on his side this year with his .258 actual wOBA.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.289) provides evidence that Nick Ahmed has had bad variance on his side this year with his .258 actual wOBA.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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