NBCSP, Bally Sports Network

Los Angeles @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rodolfo Castro Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

R. Castro
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Rodolfo Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Tyler Anderson. Rodolfo Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Rodolfo Castro will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Rodolfo Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Rodolfo Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Tyler Anderson. Rodolfo Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Rodolfo Castro will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Angels

S. Ohtani
starter SP • LA Angels
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup grades out as the 5th-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability. Projected catcher Logan O'Hoppe projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today's game. In the last week, Shohei Ohtani's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 99.9 mph to 80.7 mph.

Shohei Ohtani

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup grades out as the 5th-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability. Projected catcher Logan O'Hoppe projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today's game. In the last week, Shohei Ohtani's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 99.9 mph to 80.7 mph.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today. Johan Rojas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Johan Rojas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Anderson. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today. Johan Rojas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Johan Rojas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Anderson. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Mickey Moniak Total Hits Props • LA Angels

M. Moniak
center outfield CF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Mickey Moniak has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

Mickey Moniak

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Mickey Moniak has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nick Castellanos will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nick Castellanos will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Schwarber will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Logan O'Hoppe Total Hits Props • LA Angels

L. O'Hoppe
catcher C • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Logan O'Hoppe pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Logan O'Hoppe's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (24.2° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19.8° seasonal figure. Logan O'Hoppe's quickness has improved this season. His 26.59 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.72 ft/sec now.

Logan O'Hoppe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Logan O'Hoppe pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Logan O'Hoppe's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (24.2° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 19.8° seasonal figure. Logan O'Hoppe's quickness has improved this season. His 26.59 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.72 ft/sec now.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • LA Angels

R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This game is predicted to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This game is predicted to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • LA Angels

H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

This game is predicted to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hunter Renfroe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

This game is predicted to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hunter Renfroe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. J.T. Realmuto will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Anderson today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. J.T. Realmuto will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Anderson today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

Luis Rengifo Total Hits Props • LA Angels

L. Rengifo
second base 2B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Luis Rengifo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Rengifo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Luis Rengifo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Luis Rengifo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Rengifo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Edmundo Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's game. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Edmundo Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's game. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Trey Cabbage Total Hits Props • LA Angels

T. Cabbage
center outfield CF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This game is predicted to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Trey Cabbage will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Trey Cabbage

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This game is predicted to have the 4th-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (84%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Trey Cabbage will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Mike Moustakas Total Hits Props • LA Angels

M. Moustakas
first base 1B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mike Moustakas will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Mike Moustakas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Mike Moustakas will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Nolan Schanuel Total Hits Props • LA Angels

N. Schanuel
first base 1B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nolan Schanuel will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Nolan Schanuel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nolan Schanuel will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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