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Atlanta @ Colorado props

Coors Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+168
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+168
Projection Rating

Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Peter Lambert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Murphy today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Murphy today.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Peter Lambert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Murphy today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sean Murphy today.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+140
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+140
Projection Rating

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 90.2 mph to 86.5 mph. Checking in at the 12th percentile, Ezequiel Tovar sports a .285 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's ability is quite weak, posting a 6.57 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 2nd percentile.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 90.2 mph to 86.5 mph. Checking in at the 12th percentile, Ezequiel Tovar sports a .285 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's ability is quite weak, posting a 6.57 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 2nd percentile.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+148
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today. In the past two weeks, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph lately.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today. In the past two weeks, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph lately.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-167
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-167
Projection Rating

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Matt Olson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 17.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week. Matt Olson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 40% on the season to 29.6% over the past 14 days.

Matt Olson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Matt Olson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 17.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week. Matt Olson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 40% on the season to 29.6% over the past 14 days.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Nolan Jones's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton today.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nolan Jones's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton today.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-175
Projection Rating

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II in today's matchup. Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 95.2-mph figure last season has dropped to 92.9-mph.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II in today's matchup. Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 95.2-mph figure last season has dropped to 92.9-mph.

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

C. Blackmon
designated hitter DH • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Charlie Blackmon will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Charlie Blackmon will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-285
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-285
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Charlie Morton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Elias Diaz today. Elias Diaz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 82.4-mph in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) may lead us to conclude that Elias Diaz has had positive variance on his side this year with his .271 actual batting average.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Charlie Morton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Elias Diaz today. Elias Diaz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 82.4-mph in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) may lead us to conclude that Elias Diaz has had positive variance on his side this year with his .271 actual batting average.

Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado

H. Goodman
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hunter Goodman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's game.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Peter Lambert will hold the platoon advantage against Orlando Arcia today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the driest conditions of all games today at 32%. Peter Lambert will hold the platoon advantage against Orlando Arcia today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

M. Toglia
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Michael Toglia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 22.2%.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Michael Toglia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 22.2%.

Harold Castro Total Hits Props • Colorado

H. Castro
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

Harold Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Harold Castro will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Harold Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Harold Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Harold Castro will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 4th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ronald Acuna Jr. has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.1-mph EV.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.5

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 4th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ronald Acuna Jr. has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.1-mph EV.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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