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Tampa Bay @ Cleveland props

Progressive Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

W. Brennan
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Will Brennan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's game. Will Brennan will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.297) may lead us to conclude that Will Brennan has suffered from bad luck this year with his .258 actual batting average.

Will Brennan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Will Brennan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's game. Will Brennan will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.297) may lead us to conclude that Will Brennan has suffered from bad luck this year with his .258 actual batting average.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Aranda
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

Jonathan Aranda's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage over Cal Quantrill in today's game.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jonathan Aranda's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage over Cal Quantrill in today's game.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

The weather report expects the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers. Steven Kwan has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last 14 days.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The weather report expects the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers. Steven Kwan has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last 14 days.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today. Andres Gimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today. Andres Gimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Kole Calhoun Total Hits Props • Cleveland

K. Calhoun
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Kole Calhoun is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Kole Calhoun will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's game. Kole Calhoun pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Kole Calhoun will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kole Calhoun

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kole Calhoun is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Kole Calhoun will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's game. Kole Calhoun pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Kole Calhoun will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today. Bo Naylor's launch angle lately (35.3° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 20° seasonal angle. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bo Naylor ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.5° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in baseball.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today. Bo Naylor's launch angle lately (35.3° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 20° seasonal angle. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bo Naylor ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.5° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in baseball.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Cleveland

R. Laureano
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ramon Laureano is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The 2nd-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Ramon Laureano will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ramon Laureano is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The 2nd-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Ramon Laureano will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

G. Arias
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gabriel Arias has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Gabriel Arias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 15.4%.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gabriel Arias has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Gabriel Arias's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 15.4%.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Jose Ramirez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Jose Ramirez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

L. Raley
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. Luke Raley has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.5-mph. Posting a .375 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luke Raley has performed in the 93rd percentile.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. Luke Raley has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.5-mph. Posting a .375 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luke Raley has performed in the 93rd percentile.

Rene Pinto Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Pinto
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Rene Pinto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Osleivis Basabe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

O. Basabe
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Osleivis Basabe in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 2nd-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Osleivis Basabe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Osleivis Basabe in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 2nd-shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last year's 15.5° to 21.7° this year. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.7°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.7° angle in the last week.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last year's 15.5° to 21.7° this year. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.7°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.7° angle in the last week.

Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Cleveland

M. Straw
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game. Myles Straw has been unlucky this year, compiling a .271 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .024 discrepancy.

Myles Straw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (47.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game. Myles Straw has been unlucky this year, compiling a .271 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .024 discrepancy.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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