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Boston @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+160
Projection Rating

Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Connor Wong has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.5-mph.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Connor Wong has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.5-mph.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+135
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
+135
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. In the past 7 days, Alex Verdugo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 90.4 mph to 83.8 mph. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Verdugo ranks in just the 18th percentile with a 8.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the game.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Alex Verdugo has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. In the past 7 days, Alex Verdugo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 90.4 mph to 83.8 mph. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Verdugo ranks in just the 18th percentile with a 8.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the game.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-107
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-107
Projection Rating

Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today. Masataka Yoshida has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will be challenged by the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today. Masataka Yoshida has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will be challenged by the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

Jordan Lyles will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today. Justin Turner has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Justin Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. From last season to this one, Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.4% to 42.4%.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jordan Lyles will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today. Justin Turner has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Justin Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. From last season to this one, Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.4% to 42.4%.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Bobby Witt Jr. has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences today.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Bobby Witt Jr. has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences today.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kyle Isbel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kyle Isbel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Triston Casas is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Triston Casas is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today.

Luis Urias Total Hits Props • Boston

L. Urias
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Luis Urias has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile with a 1.96 K/BB rate.

Luis Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Luis Urias has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile with a 1.96 K/BB rate.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Drew Waters will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Drew Waters will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-195
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-195
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the last 7 days, Rafael Devers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 0%. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 94.6-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.6-mph in the past week.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the last 7 days, Rafael Devers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 0%. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 94.6-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.6-mph in the past week.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Adam Duvall has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 95.9-mph.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Adam Duvall has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 95.9-mph.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Story
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Trevor Story has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.3-mph average to last year's 92.3-mph average.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Trevor Story has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.3-mph average to last year's 92.3-mph average.

Samad Taylor Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Taylor
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Samad Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game.

Samad Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Samad Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Blanco
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Dairon Blanco's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Dairon Blanco will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton today.

Dairon Blanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Dairon Blanco's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Dairon Blanco will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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