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Minnesota @ Texas props

Globe Life Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

D. Solano
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Donovan Solano will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Posting a .283 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Donovan Solano grades out in the 85th percentile. With a .377 BABIP this year, Donovan Solano has performed in the 98th percentile.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Donovan Solano will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Posting a .283 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Donovan Solano grades out in the 85th percentile. With a .377 BABIP this year, Donovan Solano has performed in the 98th percentile.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

Globe Life Field grades out as the #26 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Dallas Keuchel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Seager today. Corey Seager hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest CF fences today. Despite posting a .442 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has had some very good luck given the .044 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .398.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Globe Life Field grades out as the #26 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Dallas Keuchel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Seager today. Corey Seager hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest CF fences today. Despite posting a .442 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has had some very good luck given the .044 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .398.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Compared to his seasonal average of 22.8°, Matt Wallner has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.6° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, Matt Wallner grades out in the 90th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .360. With a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Matt Wallner finds himself in the 91st percentile.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Compared to his seasonal average of 22.8°, Matt Wallner has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.6° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, Matt Wallner grades out in the 90th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .360. With a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Matt Wallner finds himself in the 91st percentile.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Compared to his seasonal figure of 16.7°, Ryan Jeffers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3°) over the past 14 days. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 40.5% to 47.2%. Posting a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers has performed in the 92nd percentile. Posting a .382 BABIP this year, Ryan Jeffers has performed in the 94th percentile.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Compared to his seasonal figure of 16.7°, Ryan Jeffers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3°) over the past 14 days. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 40.5% to 47.2%. Posting a .372 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan Jeffers has performed in the 92nd percentile. Posting a .382 BABIP this year, Ryan Jeffers has performed in the 94th percentile.

Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Taylor
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. Michael A. Taylor has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph EV. Michael A. Taylor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 96.5-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 13°, Michael A. Taylor has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 50° angle over the past week.

Michael A. Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. Michael A. Taylor has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph EV. Michael A. Taylor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 96.5-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 13°, Michael A. Taylor has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 50° angle over the past week.

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Extreme flyball bats like Robbie Grossman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Robbie Grossman will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.5°, Robbie Grossman has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35.7° figure in the past week.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Extreme flyball bats like Robbie Grossman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Robbie Grossman will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.5°, Robbie Grossman has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35.7° figure in the past week.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Polanco
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery. Jorge Polanco has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph average. Jorge Polanco's launch angle lately (26.5° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 21.9° seasonal figure.

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery. Jorge Polanco has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph average. Jorge Polanco's launch angle lately (26.5° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 21.9° seasonal figure.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-255
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Adolis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Adolis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jordan Luplow Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Luplow
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Jordan Luplow is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Jordan Luplow will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Jordan Luplow's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 30.8% to 38.7%.

Jordan Luplow

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jordan Luplow is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Jordan Luplow will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. Jordan Luplow's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 30.8% to 38.7%.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last week, Leody Taveras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 14.3%.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last week, Leody Taveras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 14.3%.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Carlos Correa ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has had bad variance on his side given the .045 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Carlos Correa ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game. Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has had bad variance on his side given the .045 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mitch Garver ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Mitch Garver tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mitch Garver ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Mitch Garver tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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