Boston @ Tampa Bay props

The #3 ballpark in the majors for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. In today's game, Rafael Devers is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (76th percentile). Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rafael Devers in today's matchup. Over the last week, Rafael Devers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's game.

Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today's matchup. Reese McGuire has recorded a .358 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Justin Turner has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Justin Turner has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.9° mark over the past two weeks. Ranking in the 86th percentile, Justin Turner has put up a .362 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Luis Urias pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Luis Urias's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.96 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Brandon Lowe generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Duvall has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 13.2% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Adam Duvall's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph of late. Adam Duvall's launch angle this season (29.2°) is significantly better than his 23.4° angle last season.