Bally Sports Network

Texas @ Los Angeles props

Angel Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+135
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+135
Projection Rating

Angel Stadium profiles as the #24 field in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Griffin Canning will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien today. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) provides evidence that Marcus Semien has had positive variance on his side this year with his .277 actual batting average.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Angel Stadium profiles as the #24 field in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Griffin Canning will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien today. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) provides evidence that Marcus Semien has had positive variance on his side this year with his .277 actual batting average.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+133
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Over the past two weeks, Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph in recent games. Compared to last season, Jonah Heim has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.4% to 18.6% this season. In the last 14 days, Jonah Heim's 52.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.3%.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Over the past two weeks, Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph in recent games. Compared to last season, Jonah Heim has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.4% to 18.6% this season. In the last 14 days, Jonah Heim's 52.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.3%.

Jo Adell Total Hits Props • LA Angels

J. Adell
left outfield LF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jo Adell has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time over the last week. Placing in the 98th percentile, the hardest ball Jo Adell has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

Jo Adell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jo Adell has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time over the last week. Placing in the 98th percentile, the hardest ball Jo Adell has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Carter
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Griffin Canning in today's game. Evan Carter has been hot lately, posting a a 27.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the past week.

Evan Carter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Griffin Canning in today's game. Evan Carter has been hot lately, posting a a 27.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the past week.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • LA Angels

R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today's game. Randal Grichuk has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks. Randal Grichuk has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 92.5-mph over the last week.

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today's game. Randal Grichuk has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks. Randal Grichuk has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 92.5-mph over the last week.

Zach Neto Total Hits Props • LA Angels

Z. Neto
shortstop SS • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Zach Neto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Zach Neto has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 24.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.5°. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Zach Neto has experienced some negative variance this year. His .300 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .330.

Zach Neto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Zach Neto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Zach Neto has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 24.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.5°. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Zach Neto has experienced some negative variance this year. His .300 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .330.

Mike Moustakas Total Hits Props • LA Angels

M. Moustakas
first base 1B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Mike Moustakas will hold the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Moustakas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Mike Moustakas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Mike Moustakas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Mike Moustakas will hold the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Moustakas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dane Dunning. Mike Moustakas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Mitch Garver Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Garver
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Mitch Garver's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 41.6% to 47.3%. Mitch Garver's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 47.3% on the season to 61.5% over the past week. Posting a .396 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Mitch Garver is ranked in the 96th percentile.

Mitch Garver

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mitch Garver ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Mitch Garver's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 41.6% to 47.3%. Mitch Garver's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 47.3% on the season to 61.5% over the past week. Posting a .396 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Mitch Garver is ranked in the 96th percentile.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 19% on the season to 26.7% in the past two weeks. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .356.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 19% on the season to 26.7% in the past two weeks. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .356.

David Fletcher Total Hits Props • LA Angels

D. Fletcher
second base 2B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. David Fletcher will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. David Fletcher has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 84.2-mph average to last season's 81.4-mph figure.

David Fletcher

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. David Fletcher will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. David Fletcher has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 84.2-mph average to last season's 81.4-mph figure.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. In the last week, Leody Taveras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 17.6%. Over the last 14 days, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph lately. In the last week, Leody Taveras's 35.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. In the last week, Leody Taveras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 17.6%. Over the last 14 days, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph lately. In the last week, Leody Taveras's 35.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-285
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-285
Projection Rating

Angel Stadium projects as the #24 park in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive skill to be a .397, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .033 gap between that figure and his actual .430 wOBA.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Angel Stadium projects as the #24 park in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive skill to be a .397, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .033 gap between that figure and his actual .430 wOBA.

Logan O'Hoppe Total Hits Props • LA Angels

L. O'Hoppe
catcher C • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Logan O'Hoppe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Logan O'Hoppe has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 16.3% to 26.1%.

Logan O'Hoppe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Logan O'Hoppe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Logan O'Hoppe has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 16.3% to 26.1%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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