Miami @ New York props

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Josh Bell has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV. Over the last 7 days, Josh Bell's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.1%.

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Garrett Hampson's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Garrett Hampson will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Garrett Hampson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 90.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 86.9-mph. Garrett Hampson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 42.5% to 50.7%.

Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Francisco Alvarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph lately.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Tim Locastro will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Tim Locastro will hold that advantage today.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and D.J. Stewart will hold that advantage in today's game. Grading out in the 95th percentile, D.J. Stewart sits with a .380 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil's launch angle recently (19.1° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 14.1° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brett Baty has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Brett Baty has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.9% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jon Berti has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Jon Berti will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today. Over the last week, Jon Berti's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.4% up to 37.5%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Jake Burger will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson today. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jake Burger has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 101.9-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.8-mph EV.

Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Nick Fortes pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Nick Fortes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph lately. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 14.5% on the season to 40% over the past 7 days. Despite posting a .254 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had some very poor luck given the .055 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.