Boston @ New York props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 5th-worst ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Josh Winckowski throws from, Aaron Judge meets a tough challenge in today's game. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 101.9-mph mark last season has decreased to 99.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Connor Wong has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.3° figure over the past two weeks. By putting up a .366 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Connor Wong finds himself in the 89th percentile. Placing in the 99th percentile, Connor Wong has put up a .322 batting average this year.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski in today's game. Hitters such as Austin Wells with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Josh Winckowski who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Austin Wells has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

Benjamin Rice is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, Benjamin Rice will have the upper hand in today's game. Benjamin Rice will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Benjamin Rice has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Josh Winckowski today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Trent Grisham has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 91-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today.

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.4-mph. Wilyer Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 17.9% on the season to 31.6% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today. Rafael Devers has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 93.5-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Tyler O'Neill has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.4-mph average to last season's 92.8-mph figure. Tyler O'Neill has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 98.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today's matchup. Over the past week, Masataka Yoshida's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph in recent games.

David Hamilton is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. In the past two weeks, David Hamilton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.3-mph over the course of the season to 92.2-mph of late.

Anthony Volpe's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Volpe has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Josh Winckowski. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the last week's worth of games, Ceddanne Rafaela's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 14.3%. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole in today's game. Jarren Duran has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last 7 days.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Reese McGuire's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.7% to 17.2%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.302) may lead us to conclude that Reese McGuire has been unlucky this year with his .259 actual wOBA.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Dominic Smith has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past week. Last season, Dominic Smith had an average launch angle of 15.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.2°. Dominic Smith's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (26.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 20.2° seasonal mark.

Enmanuel Valdez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Enmanuel Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Trevino has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last year's 85.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage today. DJ LeMahieu's launch angle in recent games (3.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his -0.1° seasonal mark.