LIVE top 3rd Jul 8
STL 0 +106 o9.0
WAS 0 -115 u9.0
CLE -139 o8.5
DET +128 u8.5
COL +145 o9.0
CIN -158 u9.0
MIN -185 o9.0
CHW +168 u9.0
TEX -143 o8.5
LAA +131 u8.5
ATL -190 o8.0
AZ +173 u8.0
Final Jul 8
NYM 2 +108 o8.5
PIT 8 -117 u8.5
FS1, NESN, YES Network

Boston @ New York props

Yankee Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 5th-worst ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Josh Winckowski throws from, Aaron Judge meets a tough challenge in today's game. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 101.9-mph mark last season has decreased to 99.9-mph.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 5th-worst ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Josh Winckowski throws from, Aaron Judge meets a tough challenge in today's game. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 101.9-mph mark last season has decreased to 99.9-mph.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Connor Wong has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.3° figure over the past two weeks. By putting up a .366 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Connor Wong finds himself in the 89th percentile. Placing in the 99th percentile, Connor Wong has put up a .322 batting average this year.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.3°, Connor Wong has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.3° figure over the past two weeks. By putting up a .366 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Connor Wong finds himself in the 89th percentile. Placing in the 99th percentile, Connor Wong has put up a .322 batting average this year.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski in today's game. Hitters such as Austin Wells with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Josh Winckowski who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Austin Wells has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski in today's game. Hitters such as Austin Wells with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Josh Winckowski who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Austin Wells has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

Ben Rice Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

B. Rice
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Benjamin Rice is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, Benjamin Rice will have the upper hand in today's game. Benjamin Rice will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Benjamin Rice has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.

Ben Rice

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Benjamin Rice is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, Benjamin Rice will have the upper hand in today's game. Benjamin Rice will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Benjamin Rice has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Soto
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Josh Winckowski today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Josh Winckowski today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Trent Grisham has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 91-mph over the last two weeks.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Josh Winckowski throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Trent Grisham has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 91-mph over the last two weeks.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Winckowski in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.4-mph. Wilyer Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 17.9% on the season to 31.6% over the last two weeks.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.4-mph. Wilyer Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 17.9% on the season to 31.6% over the last two weeks.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today. Rafael Devers has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 93.5-mph average.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today. Rafael Devers has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 93.5-mph average.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today's matchup. Over the past week, Masataka Yoshida's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph in recent games.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today's matchup. Over the past week, Masataka Yoshida's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph in recent games.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Tyler O'Neill has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.4-mph average to last season's 92.8-mph figure. Tyler O'Neill has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 98.4-mph.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Tyler O'Neill has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.4-mph average to last season's 92.8-mph figure. Tyler O'Neill has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 105.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 98.4-mph.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

David Hamilton is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. In the past two weeks, David Hamilton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.3-mph over the course of the season to 92.2-mph of late.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

David Hamilton is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. In the past two weeks, David Hamilton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.3-mph over the course of the season to 92.2-mph of late.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Anthony Volpe's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Volpe has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Anthony Volpe's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Volpe has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the last week's worth of games, Ceddanne Rafaela's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 14.3%. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the last week's worth of games, Ceddanne Rafaela's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 14.3%. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Josh Winckowski. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Josh Winckowski. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole in today's game. Jarren Duran has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last 7 days.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Gerrit Cole in today's game. Jarren Duran has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last 7 days.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Reese McGuire's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.7% to 17.2%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.302) may lead us to conclude that Reese McGuire has been unlucky this year with his .259 actual wOBA.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Reese McGuire's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.7% to 17.2%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.302) may lead us to conclude that Reese McGuire has been unlucky this year with his .259 actual wOBA.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Dominic Smith has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past week. Last season, Dominic Smith had an average launch angle of 15.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.2°. Dominic Smith's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (26.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 20.2° seasonal mark.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's game. Dominic Smith has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past week. Last season, Dominic Smith had an average launch angle of 15.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.2°. Dominic Smith's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (26.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 20.2° seasonal mark.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Enmanuel Valdez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Enmanuel Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Enmanuel Valdez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Enmanuel Valdez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today.

DJ LeMahieu Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

D. LeMahieu
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage today. DJ LeMahieu's launch angle in recent games (3.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his -0.1° seasonal mark.

DJ LeMahieu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage today. DJ LeMahieu's launch angle in recent games (3.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his -0.1° seasonal mark.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Trevino
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Trevino has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last year's 85.8-mph average.

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Trevino has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last year's 85.8-mph average.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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