LIVE bottom 2nd Sep 18
OAK 0 +156 o7.5
CHC 0 -170 u7.5
AZ -169 o11.0
COL +155 u11.0
CHW +127 o9.0
LAA -138 u9.0
SF +141 o8.0
BAL -153 u8.0
HOU -101 o6.5
SD -108 u6.5
LAD -168 o8.5
MIA +154 u8.5
MIN +100 o7.0
CLE -108 u7.0
ATL -141 o8.0
CIN +130 u8.0
BOS -101 o7.5
TB -108 u7.5
WAS +146 o7.0
NYM -159 u7.0
DET -127 o8.0
KC +117 u8.0
PHI +104 o7.5
MIL -112 u7.5
PIT +174 o7.5
STL -191 u7.5
TOR -101 o8.0
TEX -107 u8.0
NYY -114 o7.5
SEA +106 u7.5
MASN2, Bally Sports Network

Baltimore @ Texas props

Globe Life Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh H. Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Josh Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.6% up to 25%.

Josh H. Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Josh Smith's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.6% up to 25%.

Adolis García Total Hits Props • Texas

A. García
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today. Adolis Garcia has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.4-mph average. In the past week, Adolis Garcia's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

Adolis García

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today. Adolis Garcia has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.4-mph average. In the past week, Adolis Garcia's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

W. Langford
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Wyatt Langford has had bad variance on his side this year with his .303 actual wOBA.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Wyatt Langford has had bad variance on his side this year with his .303 actual wOBA.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Corey Seager has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 20.1% this season.

Corey Seager

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to last year, Corey Seager has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 20.1% this season.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas

N. Lowe
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of plate discipline, Nathaniel Lowe's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.96 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 77th percentile. Grading out in the 80th percentile, Nathaniel Lowe has notched a .326 BABIP this year.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of plate discipline, Nathaniel Lowe's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.96 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 77th percentile. Grading out in the 80th percentile, Nathaniel Lowe has notched a .326 BABIP this year.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Marcus Semien will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 47.3%. In the past 7 days, Marcus Semien's 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.3%.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Marcus Semien will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 47.3%. In the past 7 days, Marcus Semien's 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.3%.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jonah Heim's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (25° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 12.2° seasonal angle.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jonah Heim's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (25° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 12.2° seasonal angle.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

Leody Taveras's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck this year. His .281 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Leody Taveras's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck this year. His .281 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

Travis Jankowski Total Hits Props • Texas

T. Jankowski
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Travis Jankowski will have an edge today. Travis Jankowski will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Last year, Travis Jankowski had an average launch angle of 1.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.7°. Travis Jankowski has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .234 mark is deflated compared to his .274 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.74 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Travis Jankowski has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Travis Jankowski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Travis Jankowski will have an edge today. Travis Jankowski will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Last year, Travis Jankowski had an average launch angle of 1.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.7°. Travis Jankowski has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .234 mark is deflated compared to his .274 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.74 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Travis Jankowski has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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