Boston @ Los Angeles props

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. James Outman will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like James Outman tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage today.

Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Smith today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Bello's large platoon split. Will Smith's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 34.4% on the season to 13.3% over the past two weeks. Will Smith has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .273 BA is inflated compared to his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Miguel Rojas is in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .267.

Over the last week, Freddie Freeman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%. Over the last 7 days, Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91.9 mph to 83.5 mph.

Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Extreme groundball bats like Andy Pages usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The #2 field in the game for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences among all major league parks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shohei Ohtani's true offensive talent to be a .401, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .027 gap between that mark and his actual .428 wOBA. Boston's 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #6 offense in MLB this year by this stat.